NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265e005c08db727adffebd6106f98f9c38344d5928a7a4155dc41d90e3f6d0ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lightning | 47c | 17,085$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.35 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 49c | 6,402$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lightning | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Panthers | 71c | 5,705$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers | 52c | 5,282$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.02 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Panthers | 51c | 5,000$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.59 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 33c | 4,658$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.55 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Panthers | 65c | 4,433$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.14 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Lightning | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Panthers | 50c | 4,379$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Lightning | 24c | 4,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lightning | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Panthers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 49c | 3,278$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.03 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Panthers | 51c | 3,150$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers | 51c | 3,013$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.5 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Lightning | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,997$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.43 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Lightning | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Lightning | 50c | 2,251$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 50c | 2,053$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.36 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Panthers | 71c | 1,791$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.58 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 50c | 1,685$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.3 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 49c | 1,638$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.51 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…252ebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 37c | 1,539$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.28 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Lightning | 48c | 1,530$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Lightning | 47c | 1,469$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.65 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Panthers | 48c | 1,277$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.52 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…8805backed Panthers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Panthers | 52c | 1,085$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.75 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Panthers | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Panthers | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Panthers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Lightning | 51c | 975.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Lightning | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers | 48c | 815.86$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.21 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Panthers | 52c | 799.69$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.35 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Panthers | 76c | 777$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 50c | 773.82$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 12c | 766.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Panthers | 79c | 702.91$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Lightning | 22c | 679.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 47c | 627.57$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.38 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Panthers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Panthers | 69c | 524.27$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Panthers | 50c | 503.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 50c | 502.18$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Lightning | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…2dd4backed Panthers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Panthers | 49c | 499.93$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.96 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Lightning | 50c | 497.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Panthers | 65c | 493.45$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x342e…74eebacked Lightning | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…d3c2backed Panthers | 50c | 484$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37af…4086backed Panthers | 51c | 475.36$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…58ebbacked Lightning | 51c | 474.51$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Panthers | 49c | 467.3$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 50c | 466$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Panthers | 51c | 441.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…b9e6backed Panthers | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lightning | 48c | 407$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Lightning | 50c | 400$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers | 48c | 399.92$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 52c | 398.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.52 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Panthers | 51c | 392.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Lightning | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 19c | 351.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Lightning | 34c | 321.21$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lightning | 52c | 312.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.46 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17b…d7a7backed Lightning | 52c | 307.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Panthers | 50c | 301.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Panthers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Lightning | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lightning | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Panthers | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…aa49backed Panthers | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Lightning | 50c | 289$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers | 72c | 279.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Lightning | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…96f8backed Lightning | 51c | 272.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…4c70backed Panthers | 50c | 266$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2b…1223backed Lightning | 52c | 265.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cf…641fbacked Lightning | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…00d8backed Lightning | 51c | 262.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…a6fdbacked Panthers | 49c | 259.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…3a63backed Lightning | 51c | 258.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…05b8backed Panthers | 50c | 258$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…aa1fbacked Panthers | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Panthers | 66c | 253.5$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6744…3983backed Panthers | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719c…91d2backed Lightning | 47c | 238.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.