MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf3959518d9b5d3ee729a663c3cd747d7d4562e405b000e4ad6be805f32c6a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Guardians, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Guardians | 36c | 109,645$39,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,115.75 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Guardians | 36c | 63,913$23,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,008.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cubs | 64c | 47,474$30,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,090.64 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Cubs | 65c | 20,572$13,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Cubs | 64c | 11,040$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 64c | 10,697$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 65c | 7,444$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.4 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 64c | 7,079$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.01 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 12c | 5,104$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 5c | 4,512$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.86 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Cubs | 62c | 4,379$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.16 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 64c | 4,290$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 64c | 3,700$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 64c | 3,061$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.71 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 1c | 1,901$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 77c | 1,894$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 11c | 1,765$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.07 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Guardians | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 4c | 1,361$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 38c | 1,320$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Guardians | 20c | 1,193$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cubs | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 3c | 994.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 36c | 951.8$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 9c | 601.66$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 37c | 576.08$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.45 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 38c | 503.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Guardians | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 63c | 499.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 37c | 468.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Guardians | 38c | 450$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 8c | 400.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 37c | 357$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Guardians | 39c | 324.1$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…4038backed Cubs | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Guardians | 36c | 306.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 39c | 299.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Guardians | 36c | 278.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 37c | 271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 11c | 245.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Cubs | 79c | 240.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 61c | 219.97$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Guardians | 26c | 209.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cubs | 64c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Guardians | 16c | 168.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 9c | 168$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Guardians | 16c | 167.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Cubs | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Cubs | 63c | 142.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 36c | 137.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…dddabacked Guardians | 37c | 127.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Cubs | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…49f7backed Cubs | 65c | 108.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 29c | 102.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Guardians | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Guardians | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Guardians | 16c | 83.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Guardians | 16c | 83.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Guardians | 16c | 83.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Cubs | 64c | 83.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…17e5backed Cubs | 64c | 82.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Guardians | 38c | 82.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 19c | 78.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Cubs | 65c | 78.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Cubs | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…e343backed Cubs | 64c | 73.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Guardians | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cubs | 64c | 64.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…0c63backed Cubs | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 25c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Guardians | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Guardians | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Guardians | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Guardians | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Guardians | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cubs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Cubs | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…e9c1backed Guardians | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.