TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,843
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,843 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9708…925bbacked Rangers48c173,749$83,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,399.3316643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mariners52c118,198$61,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,735.1460451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners52c30,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,40038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners52c11,805$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.3424553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mariners52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2316747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners51c5,110$2,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.8450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Mariners52c4,891$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Mariners53c4,489$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.8814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Mariners51c4,443$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.8617351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers48c4,412$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.2535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners57c4,370$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.3225550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers47c3,981$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.6454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers49c3,811$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.171,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rangers52c3,770$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.8869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers47c3,673$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.7818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners47c3,427$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.461,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Rangers46c3,166$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.4126847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460f…9eb7backed Mariners53c2,861$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners52c2,737$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.4286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Rangers41c2,456$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners58c2,400$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Mariners52c2,381$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.881040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Mariners65c2,371$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.015764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers27c2,244$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.432,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Rangers38c2,050$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.052941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4b…c489backed Rangers48c1,973$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners68c1,804$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.6596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers41c1,756$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mariners51c1,630$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.71,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Mariners67c1,602$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.067455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners51c1,343$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.391,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Mariners40c1,252$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.553448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Mariners52c1,006$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Rangers13c1,002$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.284320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Mariners45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners70c997.75$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.059,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80d…f284backed Mariners52c992$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…f649backed Mariners52c981$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners50c965.6$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.2597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed Mariners63c890.1$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.185642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers24c785.32$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9695930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners59c771.32$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.092,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b2…9d97backed Mariners61c658.78$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Mariners79c608.23$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3117558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Rangers49c602.04$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29525954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Mariners52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9213450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Rangers72c554.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Rangers48c506.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.359332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rangers48c500.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0114050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners52c434.65$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.144,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Rangers49c406.57$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.223545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners51c380.24$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.325,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers32c372.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rangers29c346.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners79c339.5$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.241,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Rangers31c322.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers63c312.7$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19715151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers48c300$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.751,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc985…1e7dbacked Mariners51c293.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.082373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rangers14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners54c278.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.634264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Mariners52c263$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners36c260$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9668656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Mariners40c257.62$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0310834.3%37 W · 71 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners69c254$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8665549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Mariners73c220.51$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2517866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mariners52c209$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rangers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Rangers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x979e…048fbacked Mariners58c190$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Mariners57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.447556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x286e…c5fbbacked Rangers64c173.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.439756.7%55 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Mariners44c172.36$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5220944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Mariners50c166.58$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2920343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Rangers49c164$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3614146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners58c156.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners44c134.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.691,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…e7ddbacked Mariners60c133$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1316983.4%141 W · 28 L+20.1wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa26a…6d6ebacked Rangers49c128.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.171752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rangers36c126.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2738249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers45c120.52$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.416,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers49c117.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.681,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners50c116.56$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.621,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers48c116.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9752542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Rangers48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Mariners59c100.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9620367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Rangers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Mariners42c94.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5624751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers47c94.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Mariners78c90.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8714864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.341850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners58c86.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Mariners60c84.77$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.675633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Rangers49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.