TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Twins, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Twins41c34,550$14,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,165.4817351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers59c33,333$19,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,666.5360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Twins55c19,327$10,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,670.01955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers52c17,337$8,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.851,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Twins35c8,970$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.395633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Tigers60c8,342$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.582065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins42c6,178$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.861,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins42c6,069$2,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,548.9114747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers62c5,154$3,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.182,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Tigers50c5,000$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.935429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins40c4,553$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers59c4,321$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.61,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2890…dd5dbacked Twins43c3,462$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins41c2,998$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.051,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers60c2,968$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.8769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins42c2,596$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.982,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers59c2,352$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins2c2,311$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.925053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers74c2,106$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.6268769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.9726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Twins41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ea…f8fdbacked Twins41c1,902$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd003…de33backed Tigers57c1,813$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Tigers59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.131877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers36c1,787$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.3397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3928646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Twins5c1,724$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.444320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Tigers58c1,709$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.9814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0b…bcd2backed Tigers57c1,649$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Twins2c1,639$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.878762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins40c1,635$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.841,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers59c1,488$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.0831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Twins51c1,296$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.965050%25 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Tigers59c1,214$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7631248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers56c1,079$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers67c1,065$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.989,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Tigers58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c24…a8cbbacked Tigers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers59c999.95$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Twins42c984$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2837446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins40c928.85$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.545,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5edb…3865backed Tigers59c902$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.82683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+53.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Tigers60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers59c813.49$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5354048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Tigers58c799.95$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.091553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1206…bbc7backed Tigers55c722.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.812138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1162…1a5bbacked Tigers58c689.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.761747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Twins2c658.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.615642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Tigers59c650$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.51,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers72c551.39$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.391,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2df4…847bbacked Twins42c517.6$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers59c507.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9937857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers60c503.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4738455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18040547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Twins42c478.57$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Twins7c458.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Tigers60c397.08$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8315151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…f924backed Tigers64c393.03$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.812259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins35c388.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Tigers58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8353448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers60c338.37$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3517754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Twins40c308$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.244443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Twins13c301.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers66c292.09$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.034,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Twins28c289.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins33c276.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers71c270.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Twins41c244.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Twins41c243.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Twins41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins19c240$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.66,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.333447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers69c227.13$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4654941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers63c220$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins35c210$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Tigers65c210$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.514150.4%71 W · 70 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Twins43c205.26$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins41c193.62$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.381,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Tigers59c192$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7223753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Twins42c179.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1819449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Tigers57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4418247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Tigers60c173.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3914864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4131356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6d…f860backed Tigers59c168.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Twins11c158.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Twins44c131.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5214949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Tigers59c129.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins22c120.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Twins35c117.73$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4152542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ff…edbebacked Tigers60c117.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Twins43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Twins44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Tigers60c101.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.674938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.