MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa12b940f62b91423b6b5320e977a3ba32c60b8e7ae6be8fa39e2e1c1ab944f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 29c | 330,000$94,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,299.9 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 70c | 106,563$75,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,081.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yankees | 71c | 59,818$42,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,470.47 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 72c | 48,000$34,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,380 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 72c | 47,137$33,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,938.87 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yankees | 71c | 44,106$31,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,315.56 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yankees | 71c | 41,106$29,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,280.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 71c | 25,000$17,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,750 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 36c | 18,327$6,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,640.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 36c | 11,584$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 35c | 11,031$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 71c | 10,086$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,203.19 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed Athletics | 31c | 9,999$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Yankees | 69c | 9,996$6,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,897.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Yankees | 45c | 7,251$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 71c | 5,950$4,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,233.98 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 64c | 5,456$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 71c | 5,288$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 40c | 4,881$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 72c | 3,835$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.82 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Yankees | 71c | 3,820$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.45 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Yankees | 16c | 3,687$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Yankees | 33c | 3,329$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Athletics | 29c | 3,282$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Athletics | 29c | 3,281$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.48 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yankees | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yankees | 71c | 2,748$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.04 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 69c | 2,733$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.29 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 71c | 2,700$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 4c | 2,249$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 42c | 2,128$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.54 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 42c | 2,083$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.22 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.97 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Yankees | 71c | 1,934$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.28 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Athletics | 58c | 1,885$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.89 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Yankees | 71c | 1,686$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 41c | 1,625$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 29c | 1,564$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.17 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Athletics | 51c | 1,443$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.23 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 70c | 1,433$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.1 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yankees | 2c | 1,389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yankees | 47c | 1,380$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 76c | 1,370$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.58 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 37c | 1,301$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.66 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5f39backed Yankees | 72c | 1,240$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 4c | 1,134$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Athletics | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123a…3260backed Yankees | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Yankees | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.88 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Athletics | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 40c | 980$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.34 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 78c | 966.27$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 60c | 905.02$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.18 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yankees | 11c | 899.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Yankees | 71c | 828.7$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.38 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 29c | 752.54$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Athletics | 31c | 699.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Yankees | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Athletics | 38c | 654.69$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.91 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Athletics | 28c | 614.29$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Yankees | 72c | 565.22$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.42 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yankees | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 30c | 497.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 62c | 417.36$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Athletics | 29c | 403.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yankees | 73c | 388$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.24 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Athletics | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 68c | 358.22$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 71c | 344.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.93 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 30c | 333.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Athletics | 30c | 330.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Yankees | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 72c | 313.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 30c | 307.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Athletics | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 44c | 284.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yankees | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics | 37c | 269.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…5f22backed Yankees | 41c | 258.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Yankees | 58c | 257.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Yankees | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 29c | 252.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Athletics | 39c | 250.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.74 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 57c | 241.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 49c | 236$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 37c | 219.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Athletics | 44c | 212.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 7c | 210.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Yankees | 72c | 208.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Athletics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.