TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x083c…3f02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+34.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,351.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,367.63
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,412.76
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,251.12
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,624.98
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,724.07
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,757.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,260.85
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,951.32
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$3,700
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,617.79
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$3,070.01
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,798.12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,118.55
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.92
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.88
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.88
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,744Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,333.11
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$3,263.89
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,818Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,817.68
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,540.23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,017Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$5,546.6
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,773.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,239.33
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,401Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$4,601.23
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,502Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,501.6
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,200.64
White Sox vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$2,698.92
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,897.33
Yankees vs. Rockiesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,193.52
All 7 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$2,400
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12,000
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12,492.52
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$13,492.48
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,802Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+163.2%+$6,203.6
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+73.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$42
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$278.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29,592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+300.2%+$88,821.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Sean Cueninbacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,734Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,734.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,663Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,662.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,969Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,979.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18,780Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.9%+$11,622.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29,703.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Utrecht vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7,766.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,699.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.