Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fe34a1518e35e6c2a65493281f77030ee0224de1b036438a89086f1aca1ad1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x083c…3f02backed Yes | 25c | 10,010$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b665backed No | 75c | 9,998$7,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…c156backed No | 76c | 1,613$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…73c6backed Yes | 27c | 1,612$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,429$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.94 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 1,004$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 26c | 919.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 74c | 689.19$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.19 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked No | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 437.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 25c | 401.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 362 | 60.2%218 W · 144 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b4…08d7backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 75c | 185.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Yes | 25c | 185.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…68febacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 26c | 105.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 27c | 53.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…b42cbacked No | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 73c | 18.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-10-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.