Champions League · resolved market
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b898e4daf323cd6838f58d2764e65cc8e1db4adc6e3d3822ee1b03267a5dce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 18c | 6,580$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.12 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 17c | 4,129$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.85 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 3,831$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.95 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,389$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,133$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,050$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 938.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…4d3cbacked No | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 19c | 516.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 494.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 77c | 478.26$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…a85cbacked No | 80c | 450$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 20c | 397.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 19c | 392.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Yes | 19c | 321.37$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c0…940dbacked Yes | 19c | 289.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 19c | 121.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc162…40bbbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 20c | 70.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…ab1fbacked No | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…bb38backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…0d95backed Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 42.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…62dbbacked No | 80c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
- Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.