TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e1e…49d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: F1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.1
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$103.88
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$26.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$250.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.03
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$136.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.83
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Newcastle vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.8
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$66.62
Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.36
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$548.09
Will Wolves vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+300%+$63.98
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$207.4
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Everton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.6
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.53
Will Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.94
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$72.24
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Tottenham vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$927.29
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$68.5
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.8%+$135.82
Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$63
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.45
Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$17.4
Will a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.32
Will a club from Brazil win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.08
Will a club from Asia win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.49
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$999.6
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$851.24
Will Benfica win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+890.1%+$124.06
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$27
Will Paris Saint-Germain win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
Will three total goals be scored in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$67.5
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$25.51
Will two total goals be scored in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$81
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+106%+$432.59
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+315.9%+$647.56
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+53%+$183.49
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 83-84°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.09
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+105.3%+$14.36
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Another Earthquake 7.0 or above in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60–61°F on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65–66°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67–68°F on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59–60°F on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57–58°F on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+120.8%+$21.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62–63°F on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71–72°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+64.4%+$39.17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69–70°F on May 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.21
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+155.2%+$15.57
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.96
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.58
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will the highest temperature in London be between 71-72°F on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$28.14
Will the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.02
Will the highest temperature in London be between 67-68°F on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
All 25 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$65.08
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.52
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+375.7%+$660.25
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.26
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.7
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$63
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$332.15
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$65.03
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+366.5%+$128.27
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.66
Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.41
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.68
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+150%+$161.07
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+215.3%+$805.8
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+345.4%+$102.6
Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,233.7
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.03
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+202.2%+$113.28
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.05
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.85
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+194.7%+$896.42
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$27.3
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$21.85
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$43.18
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.3
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.49
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hungary win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$150
Will Norway win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$65.76
Will Finland vs. Poland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will Lamine Yamal score a goal in the 2025 UEFA Nations League Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$33.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$508.86
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$532.95
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.9
Will Aryna Sabalenka win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$416.75
Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.17
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$462.97
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+114.6%+$275.18
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.4
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 French Open? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$67.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+63.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+138%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$127.43
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$47.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Will Usyk win by Decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$32.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$50.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.