Music · resolved market

Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebf42aa1ac014ef7bfbc46af3be4a2414400aaf2d9e75623e32b0f0b04086449

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $171,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $176,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1ba0…2a73backed No	23c	60,343$13,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,878.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x010f…5380backed Yes	77c	60,343$46,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,878.89	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	78c	11,293$8,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.43	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee4…17e1backed No	23c	4,445$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,017.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No	20c	4,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	77c	3,504$2,696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.14	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes	79c	3,239$2,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670.64	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	18c	3,048$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.16	229	27.9%64 W · 165 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked No	20c	2,810$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes	79c	2,055$1,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.34	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed No	20c	2,030$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eb3…92e2backed Yes	80c	1,979$1,580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	19c	1,278$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	20c	1,000$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.65	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc160…ce0abacked No	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	21c	941.5$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.03	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	77c	886.63$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.81	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No	22c	650.68$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No	21c	600$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed No	21c	598.99$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.67	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x107c…5f0fbacked No	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	18c	419.95$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.66	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No	19c	408.53$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.01	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0c…af7abacked No	21c	403.9$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb277…d809backed No	22c	381.03$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.83	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x002c…b7fbbacked Yes	77c	378.79$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.46	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No	20c	350$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeee…6554backed No	18c	340.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No	20c	340.79$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.41	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No	25c	309.29$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.86	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No	20c	302.97$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.57	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes	78c	258.44$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.74	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No	21c	252.33$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.99	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…f71abacked No	22c	250$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+34%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	22c	242.49$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.51	149	38.9%58 W · 91 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No	20c	232.7$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.56	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	79c	230$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47c…09f2backed No	21c	219.52$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.1	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No	19c	211.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed No	26c	210$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes	79c	200$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-5.3wins	-0.41per pick	56cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes	77c	198.89$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	77c	173.63$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.25	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	76c	154.09$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed No	19c	152.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No	23c	152$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes	79c	150$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc011…6a60backed Yes	79c	150$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…2916backed Yes	79c	134.46$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.86	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No	21c	130$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No	20c	129.21$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f9…85b4backed Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes	80c	125.01$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.01	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No	23c	124.24$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…296ebacked No	24c	111.15$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.01	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+3.8wins	+0.27per pick	16cpaid	+208.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked No	24c	104.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	17c	100.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	163	34.4%56 W · 107 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c4…c131backed Yes	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed No	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed Yes	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3502…499bbacked No	21c	97.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7caf…19d2backed No	21c	93.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+77.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed Yes	79c	90$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.05	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	21c	84.51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	462	9.7%45 W · 417 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No	17c	82.28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No	17c	82.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac3…ef53backed No	32c	81.22$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed Yes	79c	76.39$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	76cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes	77c	76.16$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No	17c	66.59$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd4…853dbacked Yes	78c	66.57$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c6…aa6ebacked No	23c	63.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…f8bcbacked Yes	80c	62.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98cc…5fd4backed No	20c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	77c	56.1$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.7	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	+191.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249c…2783backed Yes	80c	55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	75c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	226	40.3%91 W · 135 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3905…eee1backed Yes	78c	51.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+64.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-5.3wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8913…2941backed Yes	77c	45.45$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.45	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	78c	35.77$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.02	247	32%79 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed Yes	78c	34.89$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.53	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9949…3f3bbacked No	30c	32.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No	31c	32.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.1	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…c8dcbacked Yes	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d1…3377backed Yes	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a48…22e8backed Yes	80c	20.65$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.13	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b9…c2b6backed Yes	77c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event