TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ea…4ae3backed No44c37,806$16,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,634.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd085…df33backed Yes56c37,806$21,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,634.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…2e60backed Yes57c27,178$15,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,686.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa1…fa5ebacked No43c27,178$11,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,686.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed No37c2,317$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.46650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+307.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c37…92a4backed Yes64c2,293$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.642030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1952…c5c8backed Yes65c2,146$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84f…f8edbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-78.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No35c1,980$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.814643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes57c1,725$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73914835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes56c1,240$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.575145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No45c1,117$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.764240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No49c975.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.927345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No38c927.19$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.752015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes63c901.21$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd794…efe1backed No36c900$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.371625%4 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28df…46cebacked No37c785$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f77…fe7bbacked No37c745$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No32c664.29$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.683438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes41c650.56$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0219939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes66c646.96$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.974461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes62c615.17$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.172638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked No65c613.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes44c600$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3347626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a7…88c8backed Yes67c594.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes60c585.8$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.86100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No41c577.67$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.462445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x071f…97a9backed Yes63c570$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes47c560.55$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7922927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No39c554.69$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.645139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes59c540.79$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.177027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceca…3a75backed Yes63c540$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…b2b3backed No47c536.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes59c509.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No40c487$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.494748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No43c455.09$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.443444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffd…923fbacked Yes63c420$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No37c380$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.63330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes39c375.16$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.4314938.9%58 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No38c372.39$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.223740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No53c365.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.047740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe10…95cbbacked Yes63c330$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.11533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1294946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes64c282.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.313420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No43c268.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.867343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No43c259.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.652040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No43c257.42$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.813450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b34…2439backed Yes65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8e…d191backed Yes62c243.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.42634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes60c239.46$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3916334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe966…c1c2backed No35c236.07$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed No37c222$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.145030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No44c218.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.251850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No60c200$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.64344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…f204backed Yes59c199.91$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes63c190$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.38342.2%35 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed Yes63c188$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…d34bbacked Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+52.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes44c170$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.22356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bff…63e0backed Yes60c161.34$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.541241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed Yes52c159.82$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.013429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No59c156.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.661827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e4…7793backed Yes63c155$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482b…34acbacked Yes66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd2c…b2c6backed Yes66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No46c151.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.225738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc979…4a98backed Yes35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+67.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a3…dad3backed Yes63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes37c140.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.54850%4 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+184.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes71c140.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.03560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f0…3213backed Yes50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5b…35e8backed No37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d0…9424backed No35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes58c127.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.134953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfa…ab48backed Yes60c124.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes35c119.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.626533.8%22 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6579…23ddbacked Yes62c110$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb39…c696backed No57c101$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.571816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.85046%23 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423030%9 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+134.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…c1b8backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603327.3%9 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes62c99.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No49c98.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.673737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No60c92.38$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.384746.8%22 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd34…e470backed Yes66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ee…a97bbacked Yes66c90$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0e…b3f3backed Yes63c90$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a2…2e58backed No35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe169…698bbacked No37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bac…1226backed No35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.