Music · resolved market
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ec9a55d4ececb44d172180a08b9054fd8aa65a980a28d0180b88502fe5fbeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 70c | 89,854$63,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,140.96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 24c | 80,068$19,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,540.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 30c | 15,040$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,568.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 37c | 12,370$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,748.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 30c | 9,873$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,897.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 36c | 9,468$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,032.84 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 19c | 6,542$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,308.27 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 79c | 4,610$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 76c | 4,485$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 7c | 3,205$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +307.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 16c | 2,422$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 33c | 2,367$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.19 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 29c | 2,147$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.81 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 30c | 1,839$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.9 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,823$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 20c | 1,585$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 64c | 1,550$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 66c | 1,499$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 35c | 1,287$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.05 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 63c | 1,201$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.63 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 70c | 1,111$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.7 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…f343backed Yes | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…69a3backed No | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 29c | 915.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.27 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 30c | 768.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.17 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 33c | 706.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 28c | 704.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.01 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 73c | 672.41$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.58 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…1e9bbacked Yes | 67c | 670.06$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…79ecbacked Yes | 72c | 653.64$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 36c | 649.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.81 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…c390backed No | 14c | 577.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 65c | 550$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 28c | 507$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 13c | 500$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 65c | 463.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 32c | 459.09$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 73c | 454.64$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 68c | 350$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed No | 12c | 349.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 68c | 342.24$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.72 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 30c | 325.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…e024backed Yes | 70c | 285.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 71c | 282.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 22c | 265$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 20c | 251.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 15c | 249.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 14c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 49c | 189.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 28c | 177.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…2fbebacked Yes | 59c | 168.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 24c | 165.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 20c | 157$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…850bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c4…d57dbacked Yes | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 78c | 135$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 27c | 132.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 31c | 128.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 77c | 124.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…24d9backed Yes | 76c | 122.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…3502backed Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 73c | 99.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed No | 23c | 98.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb7…b4c3backed Yes | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 20c | 90.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 27c | 80.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e2…5532backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…c9a5backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…c8d3backed Yes | 80c | 75.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 28c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffc…53e6backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 27c | 69.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 30c | 64.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…5c67backed Yes | 65c | 59.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 67c | 55.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…2c72backed No | 32c | 54.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 78c | 54.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d82…09eebacked Yes | 62c | 48.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2a…43d5backed Yes | 78c | 46.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.