Music · resolved market

Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ccd12e80bea92714961ece1e346c0725b152829009280d5e3391d5c20cb5b8f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 17, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $110,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $105,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,715 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb747…b050backed Yes	22c	64,584$14,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,351.8	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed No	77c	44,995$34,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,564.44	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked No	78c	13,955$10,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,062.2	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes	24c	8,207$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7df…dd80backed Yes	25c	6,025$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes	22c	5,001$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5b…b598backed Yes	26c	2,559$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.18	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No	77c	2,500$1,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	73c	2,267$1,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.18	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36ec…9c05backed Yes	19c	2,051$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	72c	1,814$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.98	229	27.9%64 W · 165 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	79c	1,330$1,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.3	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e2…5009backed No	80c	1,000$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Yes	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-60%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	75c	971.63$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.24	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Yes	23c	810$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No	77c	784.6$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.46	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc03…64c6backed Yes	30c	679.93$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	72c	668.85$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.34	247	32%79 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed No	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6142…dc66backed Yes	22c	541$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.1	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes	17c	529.82$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.49	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	78c	520$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.4	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcb…36f0backed Yes	30c	505.21$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes	6c	500$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	35cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No	79c	499.75$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.71	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8495…5e97backed Yes	21c	478.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes	21c	472.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No	79c	464.03$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No	78c	403$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.81	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	27c	399.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab7…99c7backed Yes	30c	395.41$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.97	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes	28c	380.29$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca9…1601backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…3fcdbacked Yes	27c	364.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2882…58d4backed Yes	28c	353.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked No	77c	351.54$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.85	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8c…bfefbacked Yes	16c	351.31$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+184.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	20c	325.54$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.11	149	38.9%58 W · 91 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No	77c	310$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.3	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6c…8f71backed Yes	26c	300$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	17cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	29c	299.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x375d…45a3backed Yes	28c	285.71$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bb…f862backed Yes	33c	258.71$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No	71c	230.13$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.74	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7334…8ecbbacked Yes	27c	210$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	17c	205.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	20c	200.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…b409backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	23cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes	18c	164.92$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed Yes	17c	152.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67ab…fa88backed Yes	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes	33c	148.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e3…fba5backed Yes	14c	142.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5a…5721backed Yes	21c	131.62$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	32cpaid	+92.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd85c…f1f0backed Yes	8c	130.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…f8bcbacked No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5232backed No	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	18c	123.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3def…08b4backed Yes	34c	118.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	78c	115.97$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.79	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d4…69efbacked Yes	28c	114.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	19c	112.57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.39	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked Yes	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.3	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62d…9dedbacked No	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d89…637ebacked Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes	27c	94.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…c633backed Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2efc…22dabacked Yes	22c	90.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…5cf0backed Yes	16c	90$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…5990backed Yes	27c	86.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.34	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b76…a241backed Yes	24c	84.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+127.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce3…5ce5backed Yes	18c	84.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No	76c	84.42$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.26	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No	80c	73.75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes	33c	70$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f1…1549backed Yes	27c	66.67$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb78…73a8backed Yes	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d9…9695backed Yes	19c	60$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204c…df35backed Yes	31c	59.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ae…104dbacked Yes	33c	57.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	80c	51$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	226	40.3%91 W · 135 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	151	19.2%29 W · 122 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	27c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked No	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.41	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e2…4d51backed Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3f…562ebacked Yes	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	30cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…cafabacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb277…d809backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…dbbabacked Yes	23c	47.54$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No	70c	47.51$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.33	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	79c	41$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce4…8ae7backed Yes	34c	32.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…5655backed No	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event