Music · resolved market
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc137cdcc1bcb2100e4524d49d3e813893759835d0daf9a2bca8465adaa4a8325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cf…711ebacked Yes | 32c | 32,104$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,273.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…8358backed No | 68c | 32,104$21,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,273.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…6119backed Yes | 44c | 30,311$13,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,336.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…2db5backed No | 56c | 30,311$16,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,336.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 46c | 16,528$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.38 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 54c | 8,651$4,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.24 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 53c | 3,215$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 63c | 2,200$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,713$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.64 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.73 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…1f87backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 65c | 1,244$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.63 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 55c | 1,224$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,160$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 35c | 1,143$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 46c | 1,047$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed Yes | 33c | 999.5$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 40c | 880.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 27c | 846.32$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.94 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 71c | 845.71$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…d72ebacked Yes | 41c | 825.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 11c | 688.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 54c | 660$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 603.98$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.28 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 28c | 571$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 56c | 568.5$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 61c | 526.2$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 515.98$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 48c | 515.63$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 43c | 515.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…91eabacked Yes | 31c | 487.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…458dbacked No | 71c | 443.45$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150e…549bbacked Yes | 29c | 430.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dd…e009backed Yes | 46c | 430$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…c901backed Yes | 46c | 405$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 74c | 403.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 49c | 399.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.16 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…2f9dbacked Yes | 26c | 373$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 26c | 370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…fad0backed No | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…d5e8backed No | 54c | 365$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 40c | 362.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 25c | 328$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 39c | 299.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.61 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…658bbacked Yes | 32c | 265.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…b2e7backed Yes | 39c | 258.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Yes | 32c | 249.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed No | 54c | 245$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 62c | 242.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 22c | 220$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…850bbacked Yes | 46c | 219$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 199.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 64c | 194.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 190.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…531cbacked Yes | 46c | 165$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…b2b5backed Yes | 45c | 165$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecde…c846backed No | 77c | 155$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd931…175dbacked Yes | 33c | 152.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 68c | 146.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 52c | 146.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 69c | 143$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed Yes | 36c | 141.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 49c | 137$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 67c | 128.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 32c | 117.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 74c | 111.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked No | 77c | 100.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 41c | 98.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 27c | 91.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked Yes | 25c | 78.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 48c | 76.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 43c | 75.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…974cbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 57c | 68.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 57c | 65.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4d…f26abacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 23c | 54.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…9a45backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 54c | 52.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
- Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
- Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.