Music · resolved market

Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x800b0ec5f629c9652a677e398845ff30334db4de31171d61182dc7daba74a9f6

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 18, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $69,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $62,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Music
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	22c	8,031$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746.2	229	27.9%64 W · 165 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes	22c	5,752$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.84	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	77c	5,271$4,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No	78c	2,987$2,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.57	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes	18c	2,224$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.64	93	33.3%31 W · 62 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+76%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	75c	2,039$1,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.69	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes	28c	1,809$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes	18c	1,799$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.88	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked No	79c	1,725$1,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.3	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46c…f641backed No	72c	1,683$1,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.73	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c02…b7f1backed Yes	29c	1,658$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.76	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	23c	1,111$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.53	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked No	79c	1,076$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.32	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No	78c	1,071$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.64	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6d…3953backed Yes	20c	1,000$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-60%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x907b…d4c3backed Yes	18c	977.5$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes	22c	906.39$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.91	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Yes	26c	890.96$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	78c	855.51$667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.22	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes	22c	854.5$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.15	38	5.3%2 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-91.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	23c	820.07$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.03	247	32%79 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes	22c	776.25$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.25	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…f71abacked Yes	24c	774.66$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+34%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	76c	752.69$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.51	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…37d6backed Yes	25c	696.12$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.49	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d13…a018backed Yes	18c	666$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.88	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No	76c	633.38$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.93	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	75c	609.98$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.69	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbc7…8f89backed No	78c	572.41$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.93	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce3…91c1backed Yes	22c	570.35$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b9…66acbacked No	78c	557.69$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.69	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No	79c	551.06$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.23	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a25…81d1backed Yes	22c	534.08$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.72	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Yes	20c	510.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.29per pick	28cpaid	+99.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	18c	507.96$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.2	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes	21c	499.59$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.94	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No	79c	499.56$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.93	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+6.2wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No	76c	491.73$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.57	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c8c…f9cdbacked Yes	23c	490.36$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes	28c	453.71$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.9	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d8f…bcebbacked Yes	22c	451.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c06…62e3backed Yes	21c	450$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes	18c	420.33$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.05	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x791a…1bb4backed Yes	24c	418.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed No	75c	400.13$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.13	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3396…458dbacked No	71c	380$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba4…f8c6backed No	71c	349.99$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.5	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…3a04backed No	78c	343.81$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.91	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62b1…ca22backed Yes	20c	334.95$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+31%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	29c	333$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…9e08backed Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc7…d48ebacked No	78c	314.54$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed No	76c	309.49$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.59	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	19c	300$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6835backed Yes	22c	299.58$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.01	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes	18c	276$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.67	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba6…2f9dbacked Yes	18c	276$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes	35c	275.29$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes	18c	269.16$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.33	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed No	74c	268.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.89	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x722c…09ebbacked Yes	20c	263.84$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+134.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…a2ddbacked Yes	21c	261.9$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed No	75c	249.98$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ed…3895backed No	78c	249.59$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b2…c94abacked No	77c	242.98$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes	24c	240.13$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.15	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes	17c	237.24$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.03	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes	22c	229.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No	75c	226.47$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.48	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa823…851fbacked Yes	22c	225$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes	18c	222.85$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes	24c	207.78$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.96	149	38.9%58 W · 91 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbba2…5172backed No	73c	199.97$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed No	71c	198.12$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.42	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Yes	27c	185.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	76c	172.75$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.15	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa534…63edbacked No	78c	166.28$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	21c	164.19$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.97	163	34.4%56 W · 107 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb64…4eb4backed Yes	20c	160$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f05…16e0backed Yes	24c	154.22$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No	78c	151$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.97	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d89…637ebacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af4…89b4backed No	72c	140$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.71	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd76…6c23backed Yes	20c	140$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked Yes	19c	135$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No	73c	133.87$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.14	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.28per pick	29cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e54…35cdbacked Yes	22c	130.83$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x281f…d6cebacked Yes	22c	129.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x680f…3a2bbacked Yes	20c	125.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ad…5287backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed Yes	22c	112.12$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	28.3%17 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…e802backed Yes	20c	112$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6b…f6d7backed Yes	22c	109.54$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…4b19backed No	78c	106.63$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.12	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7fa…d16dbacked Yes	29c	105.16$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?this page
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Australia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Azerbaijan finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Croatia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Cyprus finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Czechia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Denmark finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Georgia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Iceland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Ireland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Luxembourg finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Montenegro finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will San Marino finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Serbia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Slovenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won
Will Sweden finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes won
Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event