TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37e9…3a28

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Alcaraz backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$549
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$123
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$159.22
Wimbledon: Nakashima vs. Sonegobacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+300%+$285
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Holmgrenbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon: Majchrzak vs. Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Wimbledon: Struff vs. Alcaraz backed Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+667.7%+$520.78
Wimbledon: Holmgren vs. Machacbacked Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$319.74
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$155.81
Wimbledon: de Minaur vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Wimbledon: Mochizuki vs. Khachanovbacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.56
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Tiafoe backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+153.9%+$109.84
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$177.55
All 21 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-50.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Finland be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$230
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+195.3%+$95.71
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$90
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-73.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Champions League: Arsenal vs. PSG (To Advance)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+145.4%+$97.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.