Ukraine · resolved market
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad7979502be3a0ba5ed10add0d64a82a0a86f79921a19b50536a0d7c5265c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 8c | 27,958$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.78 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 19c | 22,218$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.53 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 14c | 9,718$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.45 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 77c | 9,694$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.86 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 6c | 9,389$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.62 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…5fb5backed Yes | 23c | 9,120$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 7,397$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.66 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 12c | 7,202$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.27 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 6c | 6,917$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.26 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,729$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.2 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,330$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 6,200$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 7c | 6,000$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 11c | 5,956$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.4 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 21c | 5,423$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.57 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 2c | 5,391$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 9c | 5,049$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,639$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 9c | 4,639$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.3 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,564$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 16c | 4,410$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.83 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 3c | 4,145$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48bd…9d3bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,088$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 15c | 4,018$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 80c | 3,924$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed No | 78c | 3,846$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 9c | 3,800$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…7424backed Yes | 14c | 3,504$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 15c | 3,263$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…4bfcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 3,129$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…7049backed Yes | 7c | 2,968$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,832$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed No | 79c | 2,500$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543f…9dafbacked Yes | 12c | 2,258$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,253$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 6c | 2,149$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8253backed Yes | 5c | 2,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 5c | 1,990$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…1edcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,972$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc5…ad2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,801$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d9…d9c1backed Yes | 28c | 1,771$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 78c | 1,760$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.81 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914e…9370backed Yes | 13c | 1,646$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,587$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,529$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f885backed Yes | 17c | 1,505$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,424$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 22c | 1,416$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.92 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes | 18c | 1,393$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 20c | 1,271$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 9c | 1,180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…40d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,168$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 8c | 1,144$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Yes | 1c | 1,124$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…f3b0backed Yes | 5c | 1,065$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…6ee3backed Yes | 3c | 1,030$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Yes | 7c | 1,018$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 10c | 1,013$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…0e6cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,012$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,003$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…63febacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…1ecabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 960.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…b9edbacked Yes | 1c | 939.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…a274backed Yes | 16c | 934.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 79c | 920.47$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.34 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…97c9backed Yes | 11c | 877.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 8c | 834.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 15c | 814.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…562fbacked Yes | 9c | 740.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…0363backed Yes | 12c | 727.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 16c | 720.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 23c | 700$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…5824backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…8eefbacked Yes | 6c | 648.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 18c | 626.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…37ebbacked Yes | 3c | 610.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 14c | 606.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed Yes | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 77c | 589.48$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.52 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 7c | 583.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 5c | 550$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…b09dbacked Yes | 7c | 510.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 16c | 503.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…1cfebacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650d…c383backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…92dcbacked Yes | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…7454backed Yes | 21c | 466.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…6154backed Yes | 3c | 439.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc300…9227backed Yes | 24c | 417.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 412$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed Yes | 13c | 398.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed No | 78c | 386.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.