TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa834…6ee3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Music, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.41
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+222.6%+$48.3
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.63
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.76
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.89
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+400%+$96.8
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+191.1%+$95.84
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$24.4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+492.3%+$763
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$110.04
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the third-place match be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$48.33
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$126.87
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$34.39
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$152
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+131%+$26.2
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$32.41
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,008.5%+$252.12
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+283.1%+$66.51
Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$36.4
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+89.4%+$23.6
Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+78.6%+$11.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.