TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No32c51,373$16,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,425.742040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes68c28,764$19,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,204.456960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No33c18,309$5,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,952.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No37c17,068$6,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,234.424030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c15,146$10,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.1724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c10,001$6,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.4724044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes67c7,672$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.955156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed No33c7,642$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c7,607$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.371,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes68c7,420$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes55c3,871$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.061844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No34c3,333$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c3,195$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.1211355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes69c3,152$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes68c3,115$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.071758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes68c2,984$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.924341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes64c2,348$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c2,275$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.1614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes64c1,976$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes68c1,893$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.1423153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No35c1,776$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.074839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No33c1,655$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2113348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed No33c1,500$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7988…a671backed Yes67c1,231$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes70c1,102$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.551963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No15c1,058$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.87728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes66c1,044$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes55c1,037$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No33c1,028$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.489051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No13c1,007$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.81421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73af…fd4cbacked Yes68c1,000$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No33c999.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.982040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No31c999.02$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes67c929.58$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No30c864.74$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.872437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No41c820.13$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No49c815$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.552759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No13c799.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes71c702.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.152254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes69c695.46$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes67c680.06$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.421656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes53c632.72$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.382030%6 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Yes67c597$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes68c592.29$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.98944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No40c580.47$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+184.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.714346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ac…5bd9backed Yes69c521.23$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes49c507.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No37c471.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.882860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes68c457.35$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…bbaabacked Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No30c440$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.986835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Yes60c434.99$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7814340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes72c431.84$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7911070%77 W · 33 L+18.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Yes63c431.84$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0fc…ea6cbacked Yes67c417.34$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.651181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No34c329.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c304.03$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.661,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Yes67c300$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes59c300$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.52711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9e…46b5backed No45c299.96$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No30c299.94$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9414452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes66c297.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes66c285.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.517529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes68c282.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.88944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No33c279.94$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5423260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No39c270.5$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.02944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes69c260.87$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b9…6f49backed Yes67c250.75$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes68c250.01$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.013458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8e…029abacked Yes64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes67c246.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No35c244.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f2…d296backed Yes66c222.73$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked No36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes68c221.65$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No33c216$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.284163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No33c214$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.433148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb313…f17bbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.485556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…d3d6backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6b…33d4backed No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…f2fdbacked No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes68c196.81$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.181643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes66c185.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.196142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes68c182.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No30c176.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a93…0560backed Yes68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes59c170.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.