Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9de6a0e94629a3ae89402da3d97897f5af8db67d63eada0a21ad8a54cc7018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 13c | 9,267$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 13c | 799.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 769$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 11c | 715.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 6c | 505.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…f4d6backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 471.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 11c | 440.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 382$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 15c | 369.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 4c | 352$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 12c | 298.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 10c | 292.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 11c | 234.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…fce6backed Yes | 13c | 230.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 194.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 13c | 178.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 6c | 178.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…8b3abacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 12c | 154.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 12c | 139.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Yes | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 10c | 103.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.