Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48b7647ef7c177b10bc89e9e3e4a06a44780f564ddba2b28b6a7c3e9a51e1317
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 6,396$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…2975backed Yes | 20c | 5,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…6d50backed Yes | 20c | 5,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3c2bbacked No | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…3b7bbacked No | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 22c | 3,605$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc523…0db2backed No | 80c | 2,501$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 79c | 1,947$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.63 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…9aefbacked Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 79c | 1,152$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.92 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 12c | 964.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 930.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Yes | 14c | 630.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 559.94$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 19c | 290.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 74c | 271$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 78c | 252$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 229$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 137$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 80c | 119$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 21c | 80.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…8c8dbacked No | 80c | 42.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 39c | 34.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…5cdabacked Yes | 38c | 31.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-09-19?No won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.