TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x732b…3b02

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xtreme Gaming win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,527.12
Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$439.64
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,674.24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,992Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,992.36
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+44.2%+$919.55
Will Nigma Galaxy win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.71
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,085.06
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$594.21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+86.3%+$850.25
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,403Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+112.3%+$1,575.64
Will Tundra Esports win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+139.5%+$1,250.33
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.45
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,869Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$819.99
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,821Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$916.91
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$946Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$946
Will Team Spirit win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Will Team Liquid win The International 2025 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.73
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+161.4%+$1,831.82
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Wildcardbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Dota 2: Aurora vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$842.08
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$733.79
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Tideboundbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$579.12
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. PARIVISIONbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$886
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$981.27
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$636.13
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
Will Liverpool vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.83
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.82
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$250
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$550
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+95.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,120
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$640
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,980
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$810
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.