Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROIC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ddc787f9f818fdbefe75427d252ec5d05bd1562677d1d7210be922f9c66bf44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked HEROIC | 24c | 51,136$12,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,248.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 35,123$27,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 14,000$10,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea0f…23b1backed HEROIC | 14c | 13,340$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.05 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed HEROIC | 27c | 11,710$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed HEROIC | 27c | 4,001$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.55 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…3b02backed PARIVISION | 75c | 3,738$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.91 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed HEROIC | 26c | 2,690$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked HEROIC | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed HEROIC | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed HEROIC | 25c | 1,752$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7116…b487backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,720$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked HEROIC | 25c | 1,650$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 1,569$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed HEROIC | 24c | 1,529$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.9 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed HEROIC | 25c | 1,390$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.01 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked HEROIC | 23c | 1,197$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed PARIVISION | 78c | 1,111$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ef…9a66backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,103$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed PARIVISION | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed PARIVISION | 76c | 950$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION | 74c | 899$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 875.25$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked HEROIC | 27c | 825.93$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed HEROIC | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 796.5$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 74c | 782.52$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed HEROIC | 26c | 765.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed PARIVISION | 74c | 764.12$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.12 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked HEROIC | 25c | 762.65$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed HEROIC | 27c | 745.34$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…be40backed HEROIC | 31c | 706.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed PARIVISION | 75c | 679.99$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…cca1backed PARIVISION | 75c | 668.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed PARIVISION | 77c | 667.01$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked HEROIC | 26c | 665.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.87 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed PARIVISION | 74c | 653.08$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HEROIC | 16c | 553.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked PARIVISION | 80c | 501.14$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed PARIVISION | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74f…ff78backed PARIVISION | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PARIVISION | 76c | 442.42$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.17 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…e50abacked HEROIC | 29c | 432.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 431.55$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked HEROIC | 26c | 424.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed PARIVISION | 70c | 390.29$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 343.07$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…5ac4backed PARIVISION | 71c | 338.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed PARIVISION | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed HEROIC | 22c | 311$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed HEROIC | 6c | 307.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d55…aa1ebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 266.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…d305backed HEROIC | 26c | 255.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7beb…70aebacked PARIVISION | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed PARIVISION | 75c | 200.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked HEROIC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffd…a1e5backed HEROIC | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…42cebacked HEROIC | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked HEROIC | 26c | 190$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed HEROIC | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed58…81f3backed PARIVISION | 70c | 176.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked HEROIC | 12c | 162.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 137.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed PARIVISION | 75c | 132.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…6754backed PARIVISION | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed PARIVISION | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…9539backed PARIVISION | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed HEROIC | 22c | 131.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 130.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…bbcebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 124.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked HEROIC | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked HEROIC | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…c0dabacked HEROIC | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…1f8cbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…2212backed HEROIC | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed PARIVISION | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb718…dde1backed HEROIC | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…bab3backed PARIVISION | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…7aa5backed HEROIC | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed PARIVISION | 78c | 95.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9a…8ecebacked HEROIC | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed HEROIC | 15c | 80.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…ca19backed PARIVISION | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…8cccbacked HEROIC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed HEROIC | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked HEROIC | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7b…aa26backed HEROIC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa675…b98dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 68.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 64.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…5a2dbacked HEROIC | 25c | 60.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…888fbacked HEROIC | 22c | 59.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…7652backed HEROIC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…fe26backed PARIVISION | 76c | 52.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.