TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1338…f574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ReThink (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$51.85
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$46.23
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.64
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.66
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$77.03
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$81.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$95.62
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$201.85
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$136.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs FORZE Reloadbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.06
FISSURE Playground 2: GamerLegion vs. TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$484.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.69
Piracicaba: Valerio Aboian vs Hernan Casanovabacked Hernan Casanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$77.82
Bad Homburg Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreevabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$95.51
Targu Mures: Miguel Damas vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.98
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Lola Radivojevic vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$71.97
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.76
Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$177.57
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$168.88
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.97
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Boltbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.72
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.99
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$213.97
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norriebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$83.51
China Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.4
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$95.41
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$148.92
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+94.7%+$136.6
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. BetBoom Teambacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$49.03
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs. HEROICbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.12
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.42
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs. Team Falconsbacked Team Tidebound · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$563.5
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. HEROICbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$117.09
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$68.71
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.62
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$87.37
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$120.21
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$105.67
League of Legends: EDward Gaming vs. JD Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.29
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+51.3%+$98.34
NRFI: Nationals vs. Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+105.1%+$105.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$103.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$91.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.