CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30462cbb8a83b03c90c36507691a06853dc7c1aad310cefa4210fea90f8ad796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof 3DMAX, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Astralis | 67c | 2,586$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed 3DMAX | 31c | 2,563$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.53 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.99 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 3DMAX | 18c | 1,783$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.7 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.81 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX | 37c | 1,132$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.04 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Astralis | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked 3DMAX | 32c | 1,012$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 3DMAX | 22c | 897$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…4212backed 3DMAX | 35c | 848.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked 3DMAX | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX | 58c | 781.51$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.75 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX | 40c | 748.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Astralis | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 35c | 628.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 62c | 526.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 64c | 522.5$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Astralis | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed Astralis | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed 3DMAX | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 3DMAX | 57c | 402$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed 3DMAX | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked 3DMAX | 36c | 327.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Astralis | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis | 42c | 269$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 253.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed 3DMAX | 42c | 238.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Astralis | 61c | 230.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX | 24c | 228.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed 3DMAX | 58c | 222.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 211 | 56.9%120 W · 91 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed Astralis | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Astralis | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 3DMAX | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed 3DMAX | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed 3DMAX | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 74c | 192.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX | 53c | 171.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…7f2dbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 170.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…dc27backed Astralis | 69c | 122.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…59a5backed 3DMAX | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 3DMAX | 59c | 100.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed 3DMAX | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Astralis | 42c | 72.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Astralis | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed Astralis | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astralis | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed 3DMAX | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked 3DMAX | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed 3DMAX | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 3DMAX | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed 3DMAX | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked 3DMAX | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…a29bbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 21.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed 3DMAX | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.