TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
3DMAXof 3DMAX, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX32c45,222$14,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,900.9621645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Natus Vincere68c39,009$26,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,610.3111146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Natus Vincere40c6,364$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed 3DMAX50c5,015$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.666041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed 3DMAX34c4,938$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.038636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed 3DMAX76c4,643$3,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.545459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed 3DMAX33c4,000$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.9918650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere65c3,432$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.0583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere25c2,014$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.2932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3601,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18013050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Natus Vincere59c1,899$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.8920855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked 3DMAX34c1,886$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.711631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked 3DMAX76c1,573$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.094850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked 3DMAX62c1,550$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59647055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked 3DMAX61c1,543$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5226351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX59c1,536$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.261,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 3DMAX32c1,356$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.0515452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX40c1,061$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.8525842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere71c979.73$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Natus Vincere35c828.09$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.210933%36 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Natus Vincere59c803.6$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47511030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked 3DMAX34c742.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.1113043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Natus Vincere35c716.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Natus Vincere29c695.06$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7427345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked 3DMAX42c647.33$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.3325261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39622056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d0…a970backed Natus Vincere61c581.14$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.344656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Natus Vincere66c550$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36321846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere44c518.18$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22624440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere66c499.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9928351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX34c499.97$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.985,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed 3DMAX68c443.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.442638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed 3DMAX32c404.12$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.82470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX32c339$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0417847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed 3DMAX41c328.71$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.948833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Natus Vincere66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Natus Vincere69c291.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8813146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed 3DMAX28c290.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.594736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked 3DMAX37c267.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.329252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cbb…fc88backed Natus Vincere54c250$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.58137%30 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed 3DMAX41c245.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2710238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere68c238$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c9…d9b4backed Natus Vincere42c236.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed 3DMAX41c219.39$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.441225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed Natus Vincere23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a23…5ca3backed 3DMAX32c201.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.942441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Natus Vincere10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Natus Vincere50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Natus Vincere50c198.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.388549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Natus Vincere19c192.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7810261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere39c177$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0363345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed 3DMAX33c175$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2523351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54f…70c3backed 3DMAX60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Natus Vincere67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.525941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4709…bda7backed Natus Vincere66c150$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Natus Vincere41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6237752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked 3DMAX32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c08…eba9backed Natus Vincere67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.52937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Natus Vincere68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere67c129.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8729855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Natus Vincere55c125.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 3DMAX33c125$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed 3DMAX33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2111625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e3…b3a4backed Natus Vincere66c118.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0470%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Natus Vincere66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere14c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1338…f574backed 3DMAX54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Natus Vincere60c99.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.855545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Natus Vincere66c98.15$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7811565.2%75 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Natus Vincere41c89.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.688737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere66c82.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7721639.8%86 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Natus Vincere51c78.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024250.8%123 W · 119 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e9…8e23backed Natus Vincere64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Natus Vincere43c75.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.725565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Natus Vincere69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508765.5%57 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Natus Vincere54c62.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Natus Vincere68c51.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528964%185 W · 104 L+1.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 3DMAX32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3442149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed 3DMAX56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2282…c7c1backed Natus Vincere42c48.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Natus Vincere44c47.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7414233.8%48 W · 94 L-18.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x96a2…ab06backed 3DMAX49c46.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1357…4fd4backed Natus Vincere66c40.91$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0114…22a6backed Natus Vincere68c38.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked Natus Vincere66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.135454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e63…4b3ebacked 3DMAX34c30.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Natus Vincere66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.882146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked Natus Vincere40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e93…6a20backed Natus Vincere68c23.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8210633%35 W · 71 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf117…31b6backed Natus Vincere57c20.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82718.5%5 W · 22 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-63.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.