CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Copenhagen Wolves vs FORZE Reload
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe588870ab1e6ca65a47039f8464af470741469d67d57cd9a7d47198b1e3852bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Copenhagen Wolvesof Copenhagen Wolves, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Copenhagen Wolves | 21c | 3,601$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.11 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Copenhagen Wolves | 43c | 800$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Copenhagen Wolves | 42c | 407$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1338…f574backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 407$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Copenhagen Wolves | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked FORZE Reload | 56c | 301.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Copenhagen Wolves | 42c | 300$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 293$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Copenhagen Wolves | 36c | 270.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FORZE Reload | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Copenhagen Wolves | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FORZE Reload | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FORZE Reload | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Copenhagen Wolves | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed FORZE Reload | 60c | 87.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Copenhagen Wolves | 50c | 63.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Copenhagen Wolves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.