TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cobolliof Zverev, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$576,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $576,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x780a…84f0backed Cobolli66c207,345$136,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,605.573366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Zverev36c176,100$63,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,691.82922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Cobolli63c117,120$74,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,890.863655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Zverev34c75,000$25,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,50022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Cobolli66c60,040$39,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,713.646141%25 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Zverev35c51,294$17,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,945.114,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Zverev35c28,571$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00065952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Zverev38c11,793$4,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,481.442343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Cobolli63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Zverev59c10,000$5,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,909.9934047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Zverev35c8,187$2,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,898.241145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Zverev35c7,143$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50085348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Zverev35c5,758$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.1316844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Zverev37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85017445.4%79 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Zverev34c4,340$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.584434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Cobolli66c3,474$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.241,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev34c2,948$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.817,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Zverev34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.941,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Cobolli57c2,807$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.4854641.6%227 W · 319 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff8…5fd6backed Zverev36c2,742$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.142630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli44c2,676$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.752,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Zverev67c2,605$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.128350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a2…fa09backed Zverev1c2,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Cobolli50c2,449$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6318047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa076…2641backed Zverev35c2,434$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Zverev60c2,264$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.3545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Zverev48c2,069$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020848.1%100 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Cobolli60c2,019$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.094763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Cobolli32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3604936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af2…dca8backed Cobolli50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.712853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli63c1,700$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.991,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Zverev38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli41c1,500$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.059,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Zverev34c1,471$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8649942.3%211 W · 288 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Cobolli41c1,431$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.4937257.5%214 W · 158 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Cobolli63c1,421$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6379855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Cobolli65c1,391$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Zverev34c1,212$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1143943.7%192 W · 247 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Cobolli41c1,143$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.1826555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1313…8174backed Cobolli63c1,094$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Zverev35c1,026$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.8827048.9%132 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Cobolli63c1,008$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3733243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Zverev35c1,000$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.711,51537.7%571 W · 944 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Zverev34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34028241.8%118 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Cobolli63c966.2$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.491855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Zverev36c965.82$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.371060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Cobolli52c957.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.571,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Zverev34c942.82$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.877,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Zverev36c834.88$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30076853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Cobolli63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.659151.6%47 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Cobolli66c768.71$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.671747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Cobolli64c760.86$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1143647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Zverev48c752.41$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0528947.8%138 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Zverev34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Cobolli74c677.31$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3146565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cobolli62c675.64$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7423945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Zverev35c636.03$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.611428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Zverev35c597.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1742841.6%178 W · 250 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Zverev44c564.01$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Zverev35c563.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Zverev61c548.24$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9110551.4%54 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Zverev47c531.14$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.292020%4 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Zverev38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Zverev35c518$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.31,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a51…4ef6backed Zverev35c505$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Cobolli64c500.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.941,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Cobolli41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2954829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…ba8bbacked Zverev64c485.16$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.52665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Zverev34c442$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2881047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Zverev37c433.3$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.361,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli41c411.41$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.491,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zverev50c410.7$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.351,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Zverev35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zverev50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20082657.1%472 W · 354 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Zverev50c398.3$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.151,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Zverev35c375$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0650351.5%259 W · 244 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Zverev38c368.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0870829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed Cobolli52c365$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.225340.3%102 W · 151 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed Zverev41c335.17$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.842429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Cobolli64c312.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6612536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Zverev34c309.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.163964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7366…d1aabacked Zverev38c307.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.713467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Cobolli36c299.98$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacac…2d37backed Zverev35c299.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.989040%36 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Zverev35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079047.5%375 W · 415 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1338…f574backed Zverev66c284.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cobolli53c279.99$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.314933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Zverev35c274.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Zverev37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Zverev35c269$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Zverev37c266.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Cobolli58c261.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4787837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Zverev38c258.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.340%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…5e3dbacked Zverev40c251.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Zverev48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0543250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Cobolli40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Zverev35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.59450%47 W · 47 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Cobolli40c245.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.487142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Zverev35c234.69$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1414351.7%74 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zverev36c234.01$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.181,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.