TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc41d…74fdbacked Under 3.541c25,537$10,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,468.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over 3.560c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under 3.50c22,776$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7810751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Under 3.540c20,231$8,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.292343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over 3.561c20,000$12,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Under 3.50c14,347$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3522723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under 3.539c12,316$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.461338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+344.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over 3.558c10,568$6,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.067,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961f…a3e6backed Over 3.562c8,119$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Under 3.50c5,778$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.115117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa076…2641backed Under 3.539c4,215$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c0…1bedbacked Under 3.541c3,843$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.537c3,468$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.294,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under 3.540c3,324$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.6416844.6%75 W · 93 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Over 3.558c2,891$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.329047.8%43 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over 3.558c2,846$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.3423945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc73…d0c6backed Under 3.562c2,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c5…f3bebacked Over 3.562c1,866$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.561c1,794$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.737938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed Under 3.539c1,548$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.741428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Under 3.539c1,324$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.363253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…ba8bbacked Over 3.559c1,282$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under 3.539c1,223$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8599249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.562c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45614252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under 3.538c1,164$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.821,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…2a10backed Over 3.562c1,123$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.772842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over 3.562c999.96$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.993060%18 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under 3.539c999.93$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9728141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Over 3.561c973.56$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under 3.542c942.96$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under 3.542c942.96$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Under 3.562c925.84$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.281553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over 3.537c892.39$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.5343250.5%218 W · 214 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under 3.542c831.25$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.133644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.539c820.61$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.047,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Over 3.561c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6742042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Under 3.539c753.5$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.873036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Over 3.560c722.31$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.2935439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Under 3.542c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over 3.562c647.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.623066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over 3.516c621.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.2626355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Over 3.533c545.98$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8126555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Over 3.539c500.6$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.441,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over 3.540c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under 3.540c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over 3.559c498.31$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.311861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Under 3.539c495.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3242743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over 3.561c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.81,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Over 3.562c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.874546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.562c432.26$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2632554.2%176 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Over 3.561c409.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8423047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Over 3.560c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under 3.538c395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.181047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under 3.542c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Over 3.561c329.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.021947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d68…d64cbacked Over 3.562c314.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.56666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under 3.565c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a5d…eb17backed Over 3.561c303.28$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over 3.562c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 3.539c296.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.771,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over 3.560c291.67$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Over 3.563c278.03$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.869839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1381…28bcbacked Over 3.561c275.08$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+537.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdfc…22b8backed Under 3.539c261.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Under 3.539c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4516…cc3abacked Over 3.540c250.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Over 3.560c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.539c233.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.261,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd83b…1ef2backed Over 3.562c229.64$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.643345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Over 3.566c223.54$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over 3.561c215.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.562360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked Over 3.547c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under 3.537c206.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3536435.2%128 W · 236 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under 3.540c206$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over 3.542c199.99$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…3efebacked Over 3.561c194.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.881457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under 3.538c193.42$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Over 3.545c192.24$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.737632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over 3.536c191.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.134650.6%175 W · 171 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under 3.538c187.5$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2573748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Over 3.558c180$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.919141.9%80 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under 3.540c168.65$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6614351.7%74 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over 3.524c166$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.162213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under 3.540c165$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Over 3.561c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…18acbacked Over 3.561c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Over 3.563c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…8e87backed Over 3.562c157.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.691942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x232e…e9fdbacked Over 3.546c155.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under 3.539c151.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9585250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x409d…e2b6backed Over 3.562c148.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Under 3.542c146.19$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.226439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over 3.558c145.45$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4538951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over 3.539c143.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.683,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Over 3.535c141.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.552,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Under 3.563c134.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.583540%14 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under 3.542c129.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Over 3.550c128.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.342,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under 3.542c121.46$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9876853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.556c111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.164,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.