TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cobolliof Zverev, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Cobolli35c30,082$10,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,423.086141%25 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Zverev64c8,648$5,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.983345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Cobolli78c5,911$4,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.3210751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Zverev66c4,848$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Zverev64c4,697$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,006.3110453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Zverev64c4,615$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.3210345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Cobolli37c3,426$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.351233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff8…5fd6backed Zverev63c3,170$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.082630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Cobolli69c3,067$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.46972.5%50 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Zverev65c2,293$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.4815845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cobolli49c1,453$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.232,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zverev64c1,431$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.432,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Zverev34c1,388$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.259,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Zverev1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Zverev57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5704936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cobolli36c999.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.961,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Zverev66c991.61$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4612754.3%69 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Zverev55c983.28$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cobolli36c979.4$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.8268935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Cobolli36c759.69$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.687,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Zverev67c747.36$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Zverev69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Zverev58c692.4$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Zverev65c650$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.513838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…f1fabacked Zverev53c641.74$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cobolli48c635$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.51,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Cobolli48c611.59$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5940144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Cobolli51c604.07$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.019543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Cobolli38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37254541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cobolli36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38414933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Zverev58c565.34$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.926555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Cobolli36c558.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2870041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Cobolli37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.541,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Zverev47c523.51$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.751822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Cobolli38c519.14$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8736657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Zverev64c517.19$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33135755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Zverev50c498.16$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0819146.6%89 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Zverev64c493.52$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.8512850.8%65 W · 63 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Zverev63c471.42$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9915854.4%86 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Zverev11c469.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.621520%3 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa637…bacfbacked Zverev64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Zverev64c464.05$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+312.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Zverev57c457.63$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.851,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Zverev64c427.56$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.647167.6%48 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zverev56c426$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.154,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a2…bcd1backed Zverev64c392.72$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.342832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Cobolli49c387.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.81225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Cobolli43c337.21$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.217142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Zverev19c336.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.372,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Zverev61c321.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2770465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Zverev64c297.98$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7148144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Cobolli36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7810853.7%58 W · 50 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Zverev56c271.23$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8135164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Zverev64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc81…e889backed Zverev65c247.46$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8517942.5%76 W · 103 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Zverev51c247.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Zverev64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.647854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Zverev56c227.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7867239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli31c222.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.817,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Zverev64c214.83$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4963252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Cobolli33c211.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.256214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Zverev64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12824055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Zverev50c197.2$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.635436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Cobolli37c193.41$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.851,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Cobolli50c187.2$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.627753.4%148 W · 129 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Cobolli68c176.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Zverev57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4033…33a9backed Zverev64c168.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cobolli34c164.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Zverev76c163$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.885570.9%39 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0f1…db16backed Zverev64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed02…85f7backed Zverev64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Zverev67c155$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.824153.7%22 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Cobolli37c151.22$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2785250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8583…3f3cbacked Zverev64c147.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.615942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc278…e91fbacked Cobolli37c132.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.434141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Zverev35c123.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.121,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Zverev57c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b8…780ebacked Zverev64c117.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Zverev66c115.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Cobolli34c112.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.691,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Cobolli38c104.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5814652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f8…9801backed Zverev64c102.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa706…4b9ebacked Zverev64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Cobolli36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Zverev68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9925051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cobolli51c96.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.472,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed Zverev75c92.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…2149backed Zverev76c91.43$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Zverev57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5092355.8%515 W · 408 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Zverev57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9916964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57d…bf12backed Cobolli25c84.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.616100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7780…0a89backed Zverev64c83.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Zverev64c81.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3512057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Zverev64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ec…a3adbacked Zverev64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Cobolli45c77.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.782,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Zverev64c70.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x372a…eb59backed Cobolli43c70.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Cobolli43c68.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.160342%253 W · 350 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.