Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07515c0e08c47fc7ddc1dc8a76d948052677943c35228e623bbe5fff9ae1ca4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Cobolli, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Zverev | 71c | 6,866$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.45 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cobolli | 13c | 4,377$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.55 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 29c | 4,321$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.92 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Zverev | 71c | 2,759$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cobolli | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Cobolli | 28c | 1,640$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.11 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Zverev | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cobolli | 30c | 1,331$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Zverev | 72c | 1,328$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…390abacked Cobolli | 32c | 1,223$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Cobolli | 32c | 1,030$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Cobolli | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Zverev | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Cobolli | 29c | 999.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Cobolli | 18c | 995$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cobolli | 28c | 792$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…62fabacked Cobolli | 30c | 750$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Zverev | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Cobolli | 14c | 654.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.83 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cobolli | 17c | 595.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cobolli | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cobolli | 31c | 478.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Cobolli | 29c | 415$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.06 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Cobolli | 28c | 401.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cobolli | 29c | 367$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Zverev | 74c | 316.49$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a7d6backed Cobolli | 13c | 306.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Zverev | 72c | 305.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.66 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…11e1backed Zverev | 72c | 302.78$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Zverev | 68c | 299$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Cobolli | 34c | 298.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Cobolli | 17c | 259.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Zverev | 72c | 247.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Cobolli | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Cobolli | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Cobolli | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Zverev | 67c | 232.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Zverev | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cobolli | 29c | 206$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Cobolli | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Zverev | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cobolli | 12c | 198.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cobolli | 29c | 182$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff8d…2898backed Cobolli | 32c | 158.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Zverev | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Zverev | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…92a4backed Zverev | 65c | 132.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed Zverev | 69c | 124.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Cobolli | 29c | 112.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cobolli | 17c | 107$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cobolli | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Cobolli | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Cobolli | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Zverev | 69c | 87.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Cobolli | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cobolli | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Zverev | 71c | 70.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Cobolli | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…50cabacked Zverev | 69c | 63.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Cobolli | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cobolli | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Cobolli | 34c | 45.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…5676backed Zverev | 70c | 35.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1788…aa80backed Zverev | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zverev | 66c | 27.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…5011backed Zverev | 69c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevthis page
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Cobolli vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)Cobolli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.