TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43d6…5676

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.65
Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.71
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$19.02
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.19
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boissonbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Ealabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.09
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+114%+$15.96
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Reilly Opelkabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$13.43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.85
Sorana Cirstea vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Coco Gauff vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agutbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Xiaodi Youbacked Xiaodi You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$23.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsenbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.55
Jiujiang: Lizette Cabrera vs Zongyu Libacked Lizette Cabrera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Beatrice Ricci vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Beatrice Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.35
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$9.27
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.74
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$13.3
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+103.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.