Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa012cae29b88667e551c50dd0ca14d90fc03bf143d9094765d524d36a75e74aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Alex Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Alex Michelsen | 17c | 23,938$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.46 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 16,736$13,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Alex Michelsen | 7c | 14,705$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.99 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 7,779$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.65 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 5,257$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.99 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex Michelsen | 4c | 4,837$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.26 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 4,530$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.95 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Alex Michelsen | 10c | 4,401$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alex Michelsen | 43c | 4,326$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.18 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 3,133$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.82 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alex Michelsen | 29c | 3,115$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.89 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 2,666$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.87 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Michelsen | 17c | 2,466$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.61 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 2,368$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.84 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 2,184$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.02 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 2,060$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.39 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 1,720$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 1,516$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 1,413$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.19 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 1,398$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Alex Michelsen | 42c | 1,301$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 1,229$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.87 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 1,150$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…610bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 1,064$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 1,017$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.67 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Alex Michelsen | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Alex Michelsen | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 996$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 908.59$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.44 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 888.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Alex Michelsen | 40c | 880$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…9fddbacked Alex Michelsen | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 748.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Michelsen | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Alex Michelsen | 45c | 651.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 614.52$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.39 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 604.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 584.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.74 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 575.39$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 541.19$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.69 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 533$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Alex Michelsen | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 527.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.38 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 509.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.63 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…4070backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Alex Michelsen | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex Michelsen | 39c | 476$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 462.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Michelsen | 30c | 435.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 430$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 428.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Alex Michelsen | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 381.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…05eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 375.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 321.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Alex Michelsen | 26c | 315.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 315.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 310.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Alex Michelsen | 21c | 289.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d1…edabbacked Alex Michelsen | 24c | 287.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Alex Michelsen | 39c | 281.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…4818backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 268.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 260.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 252.5$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 246.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 245$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 244.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 240$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 217.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Alex Michelsen | 16c | 207.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Alex Michelsen | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alex Michelsen | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 188.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alex Michelsen | 35c | 185.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Alex Michelsen | 40c | 185.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Alex Michelsen | 16c | 183.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Michelsen | 36c | 178.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 171.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Alex Michelsen | 25c | 168.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Sebastian Ofner | 61c | 165$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Michelsen | 13c | 164.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 164.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Ofner vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.