TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79cb…af57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT5545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Luca Nardibacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Valentin Royerbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+39%+$233.7
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$953Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$428.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristian Garin vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ethan Quinn vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$156.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Belluccibacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$690.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.47
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$97.93
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$765
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$207.14
Cagliari: Matteo Berrettini vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+299.7%+$183.87
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$976
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)backed Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$3,187.72
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$913.84
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.78
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$2,120.23
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.46
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$510.64
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$147.05
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$499.7
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Sudan vs. Burkina Faso: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$126.94
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.33
Will Mali win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100.95
Will Comoros vs. Mali end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.29
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100.17
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$27.33
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+400%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$89.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$101.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.