Fifa International · resolved market
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c9a499277f5b61b0f7f2c2d93bda7aa44dc2d6c332e61d01dd3f2e94afc81de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $863,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $826,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $863,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ed1…033abacked Yes | 0c | 362,448$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 1c | 203,534$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 53c | 50,159$26,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,576.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…cb7dbacked Yes | 4c | 26,726$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 47c | 17,904$8,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.06 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…2ebabacked Yes | 0c | 17,563$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Yes | 0c | 11,023$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…7b68backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…803cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,032$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 4,971$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.4 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 5c | 4,404$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.36 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 3,311$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 50c | 2,313$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 53c | 2,291$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.06 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Yes | 1c | 2,071$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,031$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 76c | 1,957$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 72c | 1,904$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.1 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 19c | 1,710$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.49 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 32c | 1,547$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 44c | 1,498$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 42c | 1,414$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.87 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 71c | 1,227$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 69c | 1,050$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,030$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.93 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 862$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.36 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 54c | 735.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 56c | 699.91$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.95 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 71c | 627.23$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.13 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 75c | 611.2$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 48c | 590.75$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.56 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 58c | 544.83$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 57c | 480.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658f…f68bbacked Yes | 31c | 430.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 72c | 421.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 49c | 402.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 390$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 30c | 371.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…ce42backed Yes | 52c | 335.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 56c | 308$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes | 28c | 306.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes | 60c | 299$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 34c | 297.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 50c | 267.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 28c | 258$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…daddbacked Yes | 61c | 240.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…bcbcbacked Yes | 28c | 228.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 34c | 220.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes | 31c | 219$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 59c | 211.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 49c | 206.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…46abbacked Yes | 59c | 203.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 56c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…49c3backed Yes | 55c | 199.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 184.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…3ff3backed Yes | 58c | 183.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…8181backed Yes | 58c | 171.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…2d92backed Yes | 43c | 158.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 34c | 148.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked No | 53c | 144.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb848…275cbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…6111backed Yes | 55c | 134.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…af57backed Yes | 33c | 130.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 57c | 120.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 55c | 119.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 17c | 117.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 51c | 113.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 45c | 112.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 58c | 110.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb021…d679backed Yes | 43c | 105.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.