TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$863,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $863,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ed1…033abacked Yes0c362,448$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.131936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes1c203,534$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-85.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked No53c50,159$26,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,576.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…cb7dbacked Yes4c26,726$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes47c17,904$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,415.0629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b3…2ebabacked Yes0c17,563$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d1…f1a3backed Yes0c11,023$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb12a…cb82backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…7b68backed Yes0c8,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7606132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2287…803cbacked Yes0c5,032$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc542…20c5backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+150%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c4,971$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No5c4,404$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.3632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c3,311$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes50c2,313$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.421040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No53c2,291$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.0613953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes1c2,071$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-69.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes57c2,031$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.572842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.995930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes76c1,957$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48616833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No72c1,904$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.18359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No19c1,710$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.4918438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes32c1,547$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4973342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Yes44c1,498$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes42c1,414$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.871414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No71c1,227$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.831457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No69c1,050$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes1c1,030$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.936237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4602152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c862$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3610748.6%52 W · 55 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes54c735.71$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes56c699.91$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9516225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes71c627.23$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.137034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No75c611.2$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.81020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes48c590.75$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5646223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes58c544.83$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3161369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf808…6e99backed Yes53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes57c480.7$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2743860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes31c430.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336930.4%21 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No72c421.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.152441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No49c402.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0116753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes40c390$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6414542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes30c371.02$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd3e…b019backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8a…ce42backed Yes52c335.5$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Yes56c308$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.642638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes28c306.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.724126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Yes60c299$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.38825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes34c297.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes56c285.71$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes50c267.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2120856.7%118 W · 90 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes28c258$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca49…daddbacked Yes61c240.27$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.81163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd25c…bcbcbacked Yes28c228.43$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes34c220.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x931b…0f2dbacked Yes31c219$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.32825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x964f…ca58backed Yes59c211.27$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.321030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes49c206.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7862…46abbacked Yes59c203.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22ef…49c3backed Yes55c199.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes52c184.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2936349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ec…3ff3backed Yes58c183.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696b…8181backed Yes58c171.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.18838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5816…2d92backed Yes43c158.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c148.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec6…0cfebacked No53c144.93$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb848…275cbacked Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+140.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44e5…6111backed Yes55c134.37$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…af57backed Yes33c130.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431225%3 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes57c120.58$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.735660.7%34 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.24829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…7616backed Yes55c119.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Yes17c117.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.032437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes51c113.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3311660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked No45c112.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes28c110.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes58c110.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.182268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb021…d679backed Yes43c105.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.