Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e58d4e6130d3f0d6561841338fa3f98885e4dbe87f04ee50eed8e25dac6dc51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 7,480$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 46c | 4,869$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed No | 57c | 2,820$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 37c | 2,696$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 2,567$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 66c | 1,999$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 54c | 1,182$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.55 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 47c | 1,100$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 10c | 922.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.85 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 58c | 849.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 53c | 471.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.47 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 455.09$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 45c | 268.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.17 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 75c | 265.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 78c | 265.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Yes | 60c | 201.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed Yes | 74c | 196.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 195.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 12c | 147.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 279 | 51.6%144 W · 135 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 40c | 125.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes | 47c | 124.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca49…daddbacked Yes | 71c | 96.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…a3f3backed Yes | 64c | 62.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Yes | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 40c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…a9f5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 26c | 48.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…d9b0backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 39c | 31.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Yes | 37c | 28.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked No | 55c | 24.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked Yes | 77c | 23.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 45c | 22.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca5…08f1backed Yes | 60c | 16.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?this page
- Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?No won
- Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.