TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f13…a3f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$100.48
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+43.9%+$13.18
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Mali win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Mali vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57%+$22.79
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Tanzania vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+113%+$79.12
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.3%+$93.8
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+120.9%+$60.43
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.2
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100.4%+$20.08
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.9
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$27.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+83.3%+$19.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+55.5%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.7%+$123.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.