NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9dc5ede6d0f1ce78e931b7e84d61567ebcd0ada2710874972207e0f21d4b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Canadiens, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Canadiens | 57c | 36,502$20,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,928.4 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Blues | 43c | 20,306$8,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,574.21 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Canadiens | 59c | 14,256$8,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,403.44 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Blues | 40c | 11,059$4,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,635.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Canadiens | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blues | 53c | 10,955$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,202.34 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Blues | 40c | 8,503$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.04 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 8,261$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Canadiens | 57c | 7,283$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.62 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Blues | 41c | 6,464$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.32 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Blues | 41c | 6,120$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.8 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canadiens | 59c | 5,949$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.38 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Canadiens | 8c | 5,727$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.94 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blues | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blues | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canadiens | 34c | 4,662$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.61 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Blues | 41c | 4,511$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,681.85 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 4,500$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Blues | 41c | 4,178$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.55 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Canadiens | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Canadiens | 60c | 3,935$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens | 37c | 3,928$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.47 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blues | 43c | 3,442$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Blues | 45c | 3,391$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Blues | 61c | 3,296$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Canadiens | 60c | 3,002$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.11 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Blues | 45c | 2,980$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 43c | 2,866$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Canadiens | 60c | 2,803$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.84 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,777$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.16 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canadiens | 41c | 2,773$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.18 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,700$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Blues | 43c | 2,483$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.45 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canadiens | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 68c | 2,417$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blues | 44c | 2,234$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.81 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Blues | 42c | 2,175$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.98 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canadiens | 41c | 2,014$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.68 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288f…7141backed Canadiens | 19c | 1,839$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,573$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,548$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.16 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 43c | 1,500$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blues | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Blues | 43c | 1,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…8efcbacked Blues | 42c | 1,498$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…8d8fbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,498$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…dfd6backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,497$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5162…f19bbacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,497$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…1034backed Blues | 42c | 1,497$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…6de9backed Blues | 42c | 1,497$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c2…f5f8backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,496$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…58c5backed Blues | 44c | 1,496$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…dc0abacked Blues | 44c | 1,495$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…af7dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,495$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…b35cbacked Blues | 44c | 1,494$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…5d87backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,492$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da3…1d67backed Blues | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca56…9d77backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,491$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…16a4backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,488$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…ad80backed Blues | 44c | 1,488$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…4c0abacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,485$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…3f3cbacked Blues | 42c | 1,485$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…fef6backed Blues | 44c | 1,484$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…7542backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,484$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…913abacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,483$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f7…5ae3backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,483$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1505…8ad1backed Blues | 44c | 1,483$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…0380backed Blues | 44c | 1,483$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…9c93backed Blues | 41c | 1,481$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9f98backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,481$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…a93bbacked Blues | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8571…fe8cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 1,477$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…ea57backed Blues | 44c | 1,476$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…f6c1backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,476$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…13cfbacked Blues | 42c | 1,474$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…db5ebacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,474$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…02f5backed Canadiens | 59c | 1,472$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…b2f2backed Blues | 42c | 1,472$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…0977backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,472$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…5d8fbacked Blues | 44c | 1,472$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.32 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbea7…5df2backed Blues | 41c | 1,472$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…ba9abacked Canadiens | 58c | 1,472$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…3f7dbacked Blues | 42c | 1,469$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f72…dff4backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,469$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…4e42backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,464$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…e42abacked Blues | 44c | 1,464$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…8903backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,462$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41e…0308backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,462$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…2a0fbacked Blues | 44c | 1,462$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadca…3a23backed Blues | 44c | 1,462$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…8c17backed Blues | 44c | 1,461$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…b6e3backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,461$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…15b1backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,458$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ed…216fbacked Blues | 44c | 1,458$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…6287backed Blues | 42c | 1,457$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…5076backed Blues | 41c | 1,457$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…460dbacked Canadiens | 59c | 1,457$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…4f01backed Canadiens | 58c | 1,457$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…2502backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,456$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb2…8f34backed Blues | 44c | 1,456$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Bluesthis page
- Canadiens vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.