NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4faebae6f982b7b18be052b61a57c1f058c2c1f1812da64bed710590e894d0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc38a…aff3backed Over | 55c | 15,600$8,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,603 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…3fd2backed Under | 45c | 13,300$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,315 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Under | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85c…54b5backed Over | 56c | 10,700$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.58 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 758$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 45c | 746.3$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.75 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 627.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.04 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 444$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.52 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 58c | 301.47$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 200.54$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 192.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 61c | 141.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 56c | 83.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 58c | 67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 49.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 45c | 43.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 39.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Under | 42c | 26.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 56c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. BluesBlues won
- Canadiens vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.