Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c7c429005c13e9d12cd2ccc85bfcbda321b7dedc536f74d1119abd74587c44

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: WIP Esportsof Mandatory, WIP Esports
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,930 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf629…9e4cbacked Mandatory	0c	46,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mandatory	45c	1,414$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.78	324	62.7%203 W · 121 L	+31.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+10%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed WIP Esports	55c	1,009$557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.98	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed WIP Esports	38c	978.76$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.43	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked WIP Esports	61c	700$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed WIP Esports	68c	669.76$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.62	40	55%22 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed WIP Esports	62c	641.65$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.65	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed WIP Esports	65c	626.75$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Mandatory	37c	620$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.5	125	40.8%51 W · 74 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mandatory	24c	585.14$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.48	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed WIP Esports	66c	513.23$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.36	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed Mandatory	61c	508.24$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Mandatory	25c	456.41$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.95	425	40.5%172 W · 253 L	-22.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Mandatory	66c	436.76$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.59	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed WIP Esports	74c	432$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.52	463	26.6%123 W · 340 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mandatory	62c	409.38$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.06	543	42.4%230 W · 313 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed WIP Esports	44c	335.42$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.82	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mandatory	65c	299.3$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.57	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Mandatory	32c	258.54$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.9	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked WIP Esports	39c	256.72$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.72	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed Mandatory	63c	254.03$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.04	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Mandatory	66c	252.79$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.09	160	46.9%75 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked WIP Esports	68c	238.37$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.13	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Mandatory	43c	232.05$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.81	112	58%65 W · 47 L	+12.8wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Mandatory	17c	229.72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.75	193	37.8%73 W · 120 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Mandatory	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Mandatory	26c	186.42$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.73	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed WIP Esports	36c	185.03$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.42	333	48.3%161 W · 172 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed WIP Esports	70c	184.02$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.52	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Mandatory	29c	168.66$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.32	187	35.3%66 W · 121 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mandatory	31c	158.88$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.11	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mandatory	55c	156$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.38	443	42%186 W · 257 L	-22.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a6…0a68backed WIP Esports	62c	150.58$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.74	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Mandatory	45c	145.71$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.07	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ae…d156backed WIP Esports	74c	131.02$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.22	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+58.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked WIP Esports	37c	130$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.9	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Mandatory	24c	129.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.15	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked WIP Esports	48c	122.3$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.25	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c8…20bbbacked Mandatory	28c	122.14$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed WIP Esports	57c	117$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.31	230	55.7%128 W · 102 L	+11.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed WIP Esports	67c	110.73$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	47	66%31 W · 16 L	+4.8wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed WIP Esports	64c	110$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mandatory	64c	109.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.39	321	41.7%134 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed WIP Esports	75c	104.59$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.64	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Mandatory	24c	100.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	311	53.1%165 W · 146 L	+15.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked WIP Esports	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Mandatory	32c	93.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed WIP Esports	37c	91.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.96	160	41.9%67 W · 93 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked WIP Esports	37c	90$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.7	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed WIP Esports	79c	85.25$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.82	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Mandatory	25c	82.81$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	279	56.6%158 W · 121 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Mandatory	24c	82.08$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	282	47.5%134 W · 148 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked WIP Esports	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Mandatory	21c	80.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	308	35.4%109 W · 199 L	-23.8wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Mandatory	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed WIP Esports	66c	77.97$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.2	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Mandatory	30c	73.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	575	17.7%102 W · 473 L	-71.7wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Mandatory	25c	71.83$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed WIP Esports	65c	71$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Mandatory	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+8.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked WIP Esports	61c	63.55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.48	601	54.2%326 W · 275 L	+24.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed WIP Esports	48c	63.02$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.02	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked Mandatory	63c	62.2$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.19	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb477…93b0backed Mandatory	37c	53.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Mandatory	41c	51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked WIP Esports	65c	49.98$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed WIP Esports	62c	49.66$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.06	347	39.8%138 W · 209 L	-13.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Mandatory	29c	42.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Mandatory	64c	39$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	112	48.2%54 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed WIP Esports	35c	37.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.2	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff3…23cfbacked Mandatory	74c	33.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.74per pick	74cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed WIP Esports	31c	33$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.77	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe56a…2ba5backed Mandatory	32c	32.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-7.5wins	-0.19per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed WIP Esports	75c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.5	42	71.4%30 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	76cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f13…a3f3backed Mandatory	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.21per pick	51cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed WIP Esports	37c	28$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.64	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mandatory	63c	28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.64	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mandatory	62c	26$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	565	51.2%289 W · 276 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…af56backed WIP Esports	48c	24.79$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8329…6f6ebacked WIP Esports	69c	21.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed WIP Esports	69c	21.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	73cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Mandatory	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-19.2wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed Mandatory	64c	18.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.02	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs WIP Esports (+1.5)WIP Esports won
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 3 WinnerMandatory won
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 WinnerWIP Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event