Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs WIP Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x479bd6163fba2925171a4be645537aac7eb6ac223bbcb9f324a17e2ca5ae4a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof Mandatory, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed WIP Esports | 55c | 1,526$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.76 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Mandatory | 45c | 553$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Mandatory | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed WIP Esports | 54c | 298.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.12 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…3ce5backed Mandatory | 45c | 284.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Mandatory | 45c | 244.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Mandatory | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Mandatory | 44c | 120.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Mandatory | 46c | 109.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed WIP Esports | 56c | 59.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mandatory | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed WIP Esports | 75c | 49.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs WIP Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 PlayoffsWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 3 WinnerMandatory won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.