Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17faf552dd4a25fe662c1cad0a381ae84d62e983d72c9d0ce52432f7afde8cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof Mandatory, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4232…d505backed Mandatory | 15c | 901.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mandatory | 9c | 494.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Mandatory | 26c | 239.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…f6febacked Mandatory | 25c | 159.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed WIP Esports | 72c | 147.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Mandatory | 27c | 141.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WIP Esports | 46c | 133.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked WIP Esports | 61c | 99.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed WIP Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked WIP Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Mandatory | 33c | 32.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked WIP Esports | 42c | 25.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…d156backed Mandatory | 56c | 22.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed WIP Esports | 78c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed WIP Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked WIP Esports | 61c | 19.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…f368backed WIP Esports | 75c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs WIP Esports (+1.5)WIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 PlayoffsWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Mandatory vs WIP Esports - Map 3 WinnerMandatory won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.