Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cae63be174722d42efe4dbd8301bcef0e8df530b13789a06c22de8baebbcd85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 79c | 125,394$99,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,394.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 78c | 64,290$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,289.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 22c | 52,267$11,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,240.81 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 40,959$8,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,876.28 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 22c | 27,728$6,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,073.22 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 76c | 25,573$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.99 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 20c | 19,893$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.62 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 22c | 18,004$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 21c | 17,931$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.24 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 21c | 12,800$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 10,540$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 22c | 10,320$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.39 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 22c | 9,145$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 21c | 8,795$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.9 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 7,838$6,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.05 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 22c | 7,034$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.4 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 7c | 6,784$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.56 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 78c | 5,587$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 23c | 5,500$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 5,385$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 24c | 4,654$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 22c | 4,034$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.47 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 21c | 4,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 3,545$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.79 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 25c | 3,389$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 77c | 2,819$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 22c | 2,696$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 21c | 2,469$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.56 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 2,452$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 78c | 2,390$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.91 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 21c | 2,309$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 22c | 2,236$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 25c | 2,176$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.88 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 2c | 2,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 79c | 1,761$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.21 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 23c | 1,492$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 22c | 1,447$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.2 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 77c | 1,420$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 22c | 1,290$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 23c | 1,143$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 24c | 983.72$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 78c | 938.62$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 22c | 875.76$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.67 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked No | 22c | 865.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 22c | 701$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 24c | 700$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 15c | 691.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.49 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 667.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 24c | 659$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.16 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 24c | 637.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Yes | 78c | 631.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes | 80c | 591.16$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 12c | 556$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 75c | 414.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed Yes | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…8fcabacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 76c | 376.92$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 15c | 375.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 10c | 368$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 20c | 322.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 23c | 308.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 18c | 296.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 23c | 295$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 78c | 287.53$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 23c | 277.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Yes | 78c | 273.28$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…2854backed Yes | 78c | 258$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 77c | 257.65$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 23c | 223.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…ee47backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 69c | 185.51$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…959bbacked Yes | 77c | 178.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 75c | 175.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…4518backed Yes | 65c | 161.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked Yes | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked No | 24c | 159.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 66c | 152.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 22c | 151.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Benin vs. Senegal end in a draw?No won
- Will Benin win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.