TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd24d…3ab5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST6053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$767.3
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,047Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$515.75
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$617.65
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$231.88
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$436.34
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.4%+$1,637.02
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$958.54
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$597.77
Bucks vs. Kingsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$581.36
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,149.13
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$379.06
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.88
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,646Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$464.14
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$28.23
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$662.82
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$605.74
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$829.08
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$483.77
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$698Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+45.3%+$316.06
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$927Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$342.84
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$10.49
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.48
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$28.36
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,032Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$291.21
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$339.45
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$1,170.25
Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$268.23
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$466.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+224.6%+$437.59
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200.1
Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$118.15
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$558.93
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$838.03
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$701.19
Will Sudan vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$28.22
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$499.21
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,229.17
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$188.24
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$97.41
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$114.1
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$978.99
Will Equatorial Guinea win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.43
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$842Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$223.77
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$46.89
Will Nigeria vs. Tanzania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+32.4%+$61.76
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$138.36
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$129.81
Will Mali vs. Zambia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$98.76
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$153.13
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$96.76
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.09
Will Everton FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$26.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.8%+$132.83
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.17
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+40.8%+$102.37
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.2%+$27.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$113.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$29.71
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+25%+$8.28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$529.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$57.33
Barcelona vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+132.6%+$161.63
Anadolu Efes vs. BC Dubaibacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.76
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.44
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.92
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$134.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick27cpaid+277.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+277.4%+$148.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+37%+$94.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$84.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.