Fifa International · resolved market
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108cc8c07f431339b87bf3b693d247a90246e54892af65e10f9f024f309c2cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,041,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,009,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,041,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 15c | 150,703$22,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,363.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 13c | 141,945$18,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,785.6 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 4c | 126,115$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,006.87 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 19c | 65,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.99 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 18c | 51,474$9,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,265.29 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 15c | 27,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.98 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 15c | 23,975$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635.99 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 15c | 23,314$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.05 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 15c | 20,007$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.97 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 17c | 10,867$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.91 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 10c | 8,644$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 13c | 7,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 19c | 6,204$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.92 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 5,985$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 5c | 4,955$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 9c | 4,821$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.84 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 12c | 4,150$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 16c | 3,600$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed No | 15c | 1,870$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 13c | 1,719$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 1,707$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 12c | 1,467$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 1,188$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 10c | 1,112$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed No | 8c | 874.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 19c | 728.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 8c | 708.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 6c | 671.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 15c | 662.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed No | 16c | 553.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 19c | 499.97$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 20c | 455.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 16c | 425.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked No | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 18c | 399.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b81…b5a2backed No | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 3c | 351$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…1a55backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked No | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 18c | 196.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked No | 12c | 193.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 12c | 167.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 21c | 131$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb170…e7eabacked No | 15c | 125.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…2e9abacked No | 16c | 114.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 20c | 104.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…139ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked No | 17c | 86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 19c | 79.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…3e7dbacked No | 20c | 74.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 15c | 70.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…04bebacked No | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 19c | 63.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…e8a3backed No | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa3…b1d8backed Yes | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b3…3ebabacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes | 80c | 15.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…01debacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?this page
- Will Botswana win on 2025-12-23?No won
- Will Senegal vs. Botswana end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.