TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f64…1a55

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$57.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$39.92
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.36
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.5
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.27
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advancebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$84.8
Will France win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$60
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$75.6
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$80.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.