Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdcfa1d67297a9a8cbf981691912f8bd8d1dc92275d921906ef7cc25665e06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 15c | 79,815$11,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,745.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 15c | 75,000$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Yes | 14c | 65,439$9,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,152.59 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…3eddbacked Yes | 15c | 13,883$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Yes | 14c | 7,230$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked Yes | 13c | 4,503$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…97b0backed Yes | 14c | 3,538$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…b778backed Yes | 13c | 1,772$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…0607backed Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 14c | 1,378$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,308$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 15c | 800.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 16c | 658.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…1a55backed Yes | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 573.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 9c | 523.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 484.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 16c | 446.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 436.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 14c | 392.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 14c | 392.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…b7dbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 13c | 262.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 16c | 257.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…a208backed Yes | 15c | 134.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6de…d4c1backed Yes | 15c | 113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 10c | 106.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ac…4025backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…80f8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 12c | 95.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-08?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.