TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c6,646$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.7521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c5,721$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.2733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No79c5,155$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes1c4,930$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-57.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c3,869$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c3,670$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.31,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1c89backed Yes48c1,493$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes20c1,400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No55c1,280$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.352552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c1,257$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c876.21$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No58c855.75$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.195642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No70c830$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes45c783.83$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes19c776.65$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5610145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12030448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No55c599.99$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes27c562.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes19c394.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x069b…11adbacked Yes11c373.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No74c317.13$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1113250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No79c288$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.088066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes19c286.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4616644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes33c267.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.551833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No71c257.71$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.538643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe864…c3c4backed Yes32c240.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes19c204.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.953828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19af…80f8backed Yes15c202.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No74c195.56$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.732369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1366…bf01backed Yes20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes34c174.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d67…c1b3backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes19c160.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2123342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes21c155.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.761926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No73c149.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.125846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked No66c142.59$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick68cpaid-46.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes20c110.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.06728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No80c109.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.175955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x195a…b307backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes31c93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.833050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Yes18c90.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes19c88.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.892240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c84.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes19c82.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No64c73.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes19c68.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9926041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed Yes19c64.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…e95fbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes19c62.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No67c62.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No76c62.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c59.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9810640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c58.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95a2…c5cdbacked Yes30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…8cf8backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fab…9db1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2767…886abacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc995…05a3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Yes46c46.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.152254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd10…32e8backed Yes45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27de…9b6abacked Yes31c35.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked No66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c27.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No77c25.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.047058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7915951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No62c24.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.246936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No59c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.846755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No58c17.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.