NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f10f76dd83741d6f1b565cab68dd69e30a9299cec124e42633238f10f9812bd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Magic, Cavaliers
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,515,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,515,708 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers	80c	357,505$286,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,501.04	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Magic	20c	250,000$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,999.98	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Cavaliers	80c	200,000$160,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,000	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Magic	20c	173,700$34,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,740	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Magic	22c	69,148$14,883 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,883.45	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	21c	64,539$13,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,731.9	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers	78c	61,960$48,329 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,631.23	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Magic	11c	54,068$6,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,068.69	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5845…7903backed Magic	23c	51,326$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,999.56	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	30cpaid	-59%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic	25c	40,405$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Cavaliers	74c	37,823$28,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,656.68	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Magic	22c	37,435$8,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,302.56	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Magic	7c	34,777$2,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,366.99	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Magic	20c	34,664$6,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,932.8	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Magic	19c	30,132$5,707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,706.83	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers	77c	30,128$23,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,961.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Magic	25c	30,000$7,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,384.77	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	80c	25,450$20,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,133.59	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Magic	20c	25,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Magic	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Magic	22c	25,000$5,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,550	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8436…4c19backed Magic	19c	25,000$4,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,750	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+5.7wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Magic	21c	23,320$4,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,897.15	282	41.1%116 W · 166 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Magic	20c	20,000$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	90	18.9%17 W · 73 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers	76c	19,273$14,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,625.61	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers	78c	18,140$14,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,031.03	285	54%154 W · 131 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic	13c	17,219$2,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,278.22	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Magic	20c	17,000$3,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,340	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Magic	21c	16,754$3,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,563.42	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Magic	21c	16,116$3,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,367.85	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic	0c	16,017$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers	75c	15,731$11,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,974.25	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Cavaliers	79c	15,585$12,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,272.75	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic	22c	15,110$3,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,370.08	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Cavaliers	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.03	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Magic	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Cavaliers	80c	15,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	272	41.9%114 W · 158 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e6…7ce6backed Magic	21c	14,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Cavaliers	79c	14,000$11,023 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,976.78	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Magic	25c	13,826$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,401.9	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic	21c	12,995$2,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.89	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Magic	21c	12,794$2,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,691.53	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed Magic	20c	12,500$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Magic	20c	12,199$2,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,439.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	31cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Magic	16c	12,192$1,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.7	107	43%46 W · 61 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Magic	16c	11,416$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,882.17	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…cc0fbacked Magic	20c	11,057$2,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b6…c914backed Magic	22c	11,015$2,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466.02	92	20.7%19 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Magic	16c	10,830$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,782.4	502	41.2%207 W · 295 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Cavaliers	72c	10,746$7,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,026.68	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Cavaliers	80c	10,300$8,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,060	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Magic	20c	10,300$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,060	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Magic	20c	10,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Cavaliers	80c	10,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Magic	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Magic	27c	9,973$2,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,692.58	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	80c	9,911$7,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.31	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed Cavaliers	79c	9,030$7,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,896.3	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cea…2c92backed Magic	20c	9,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Cavaliers	73c	8,972$6,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,451.63	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Magic	25c	8,818$2,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,228.41	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Cavaliers	73c	8,714$6,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,364.86	292	50%146 W · 146 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Magic	19c	8,500$1,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.95	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Magic	25c	8,431$2,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,149.21	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Magic	19c	8,400$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.99	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Cavaliers	80c	8,262$6,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,652.42	244	58.2%142 W · 102 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Cavaliers	79c	8,000$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Magic	27c	7,991$2,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,166.2	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Magic	22c	7,705$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,695	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers	77c	7,344$5,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,676.66	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	21c	6,994$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.6	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445f…07d4backed Magic	21c	6,975$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,464.67	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	11c	6,942$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.8	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Magic	20c	6,896$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.3	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f0…cbb1backed Cavaliers	80c	6,508$5,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,301.61	87	65.5%57 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbedd…7605backed Magic	10c	6,315$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Magic	1c	6,066$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Magic	22c	6,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.99	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic	12c	5,966$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.03	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Magic	17c	5,926$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.61	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Cavaliers	79c	5,649$4,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,186.25	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Magic	24c	5,615$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.44	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	80c	5,516$4,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.35	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed Cavaliers	80c	5,388$4,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,077.67	228	57.5%131 W · 97 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Magic	18c	5,253$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.3	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Magic	14c	5,169$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers	80c	5,059$4,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.85	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Magic	20c	5,050$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Cavaliers	79c	5,000$3,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+8.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Magic	35c	5,000$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Magic	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Cavaliers	80c	4,819$3,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.8	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c8…6eccbacked Magic	20c	4,792$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.27	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Magic	13c	4,631$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.77	423	35.9%152 W · 271 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Cavaliers	75c	4,478$3,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.5	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Magic	20c	4,400$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	205	37.1%76 W · 129 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked Magic	20c	4,338$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c98…253bbacked Magic	20c	4,300$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8894…085cbacked Magic	21c	4,270$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.7	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Magic vs. Cavaliersthis page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Magic won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Goga Bitadze: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Over won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Magic won
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Magic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event