TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,726 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7879…3653backed Over56c9,724$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.3115952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c2,658$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.834,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,200$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c2,039$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.753,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,950$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c1,568$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c1,273$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under20c1,249$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,008$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.412,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over55c999.91$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9629149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c912.37$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over55c874.28$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.151,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c804.72$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.698,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over55c781.78$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.826149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c478.66$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over57c466.75$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c448.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c377.8$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.649546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c329.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.232,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under39c319.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.192,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under43c310.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13521049.5%104 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under45c290.03$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5129344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over55c248.9$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0180653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c217.37$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7144…790fbacked Under47c208.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under21c178.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c161.58$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over57c141.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.658850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9657…d3d8backed Over56c129.02$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+65.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under44c117.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.271,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over55c116.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.364734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under44c109.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1820350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4763353.1%336 W · 297 L-2.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f0…965dbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.513448.5%65 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c97.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.851,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under24c87.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8710718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick18cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c9…8825backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Under45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9616150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7323657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c70.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.482,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.6%197 W · 208 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over52c62.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1223651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2161253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over53c57.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0574748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under47c53.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516046.3%74 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under46c51.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8353339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over54c51.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5260945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a3…f319backed Under47c50.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.612128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-55.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under46c47.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0634047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under46c46.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4826450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under46c45.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9457250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c43.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013947.5%66 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…fff6backed Over53c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7137344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Under45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1613140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over56c35.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5622746.3%105 W · 122 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under46c35.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3830845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under47c33.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9717553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under46c32.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0315144.4%67 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under47c32.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9841449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea34…8efcbacked Over55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.516551.5%85 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under45c28.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.011,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under45c27.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c26.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Over54c26.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over54c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under45c24.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0624841.9%104 W · 144 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Over54c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0413052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0471752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e5…6f6abacked Under46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c23.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under46c22.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3429848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.827048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Over55c20.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over53c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over59c19.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.931,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d8…0748backed Over57c18.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.