NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd13518fdd28e9b268c0d02d5f9b05f66681e243fd8b95595dfd0f06bab212ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,726 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 56c | 9,724$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.31 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 2,658$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,200$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 2,039$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,950$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 1,568$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.28 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,273$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 20c | 1,249$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 1,008$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.41 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 55c | 999.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 912.37$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.51 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 874.28$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 804.72$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 55c | 781.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 45c | 478.66$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.36 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 57c | 466.75$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 448.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 54c | 377.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 329.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.23 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 319.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 43c | 310.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 45c | 290.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.51 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 55c | 248.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 217.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7144…790fbacked Under | 47c | 208.72$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…2ee3backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 21c | 178.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 161.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 57c | 141.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9657…d3d8backed Over | 56c | 129.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 44c | 117.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 44c | 109.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…965dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 97.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 24c | 87.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…8825backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 70.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 52c | 62.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 57.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 47c | 53.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 46c | 51.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 54c | 51.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Under | 47c | 50.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 46c | 47.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 46c | 46.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 46c | 45.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 43.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…fff6backed Over | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 56c | 35.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 46c | 35.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…dd5abacked Over | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 47c | 33.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 46c | 32.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…8efcbacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 28.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 26.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Over | 54c | 26.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 45c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…6f6abacked Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 23.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 46c | 22.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…556fbacked Over | 55c | 20.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 59c | 19.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…0748backed Over | 57c | 18.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Magic won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Goga Bitadze: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Magic vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Max Strus: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Magic won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.